Ballon d'Or 2025 winner odds and predictions

Ballon d'Or is the annual award for the best footballer of the previous season with the ceremony held in Autumn. While Lionel Messi leads the way with eight Golden Balls, Cristiano Ronaldo holds the record for most nominations with 18. The best days of their careers are gone, and now we have real intrigue about who'll be the winner in 2025. 

Golden Ball predictions 2025

We'll take the odds for this event from our well-trusted partner, Qbet.

The FC Barcelona forward is having a fantastic season, scoring 12 Champions League goals and 13 more in La Liga, where his club is leading the way. With Barca being the biggest favourites of the Champions League as well, there's a considerable chance Raphinha will win one of those tournaments. This can be enough to claim the Best Player Award. Moreover, Barca surely can claim three trophies this season, as they're playing Real Madrid in the Copa del Rey final on April 26. This looks like a value bet on great odds.

Raphinha's teammate at Barcelona is his biggest rival for the Golden Ball, according to Qbet. Obviously, the 17-year-old has the same chance of winning trophies at the club level, but he can also triumph with Spain at the UEFA Nations League Finals in June. On the other hand, this tournament is not rated that high (and we doubt it ever will), while the best days of Yamal's career are ahead. Of course, he can make a hat-trick in the Champions League final to steal the show, but how realistic is this scenario?

The Liverpool FC striker has all but won the Premier League and is also leading the way as the tournament's best goalscorer. We doubt he'll get caught by the chasers, but is this enough to be the Footballer of the Year? It might be if Arsenal somehow shocks the football world by winning the Champions League. Will it happen? Nope.

MightyTips believes the Frenchman has the best chance to outgun Raphinha. His Paris Sent-Germaint FC already won the Ligue 1 and will meet Stade De Reims in the French Cup final on May 24. The capital club, just like Barca, is one foot in the Champions League semis, and the two teams can meet in the final. Dembélé will likely finish as the best scorer of Ligue 1, and he can also win the Nations League with France this Summer. If PSG finally claims the Champions Cup, Dembélé's chances of winning the Golden Ball will be second to none.

• Kylian Mbappe - 8.17
• Robert Lewandowski - 9.19
• Pedri - 15.34
• Harry Kane - 34.80
• Lautaro Martinez - 41.97
• Vinicius Junior - 41.97

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Preview Photo by Ank kumar/ CC BY-SA 4.0 / Cropped from original