Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Sporting Lisbon prediction 03/01/2025 | Primeira Liga

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  • Date: 03/01/2025
  • Competition: Primeira Liga
  • KO: 21:15 CET
  • Venue: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques (Guimarães)

The Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques plays host to a Primeira Liga contest on Thursday as Vitoria de Guimaraes takes on Sporting Lisbon.

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Sporting Lisbon Betting Tips: Over 2.5 Goals / BTTS

An intriguing contest with plenty of chances at both ends is expected when Sporting Lisbon travel to Guimarães to take on Vitoria on Friday evening. 

Sporting return to action after a turbulent spell which has seen head coach João Pereira sacked on Boxing Day by the Portuguese champions after just eight games in charge. The Lisbon-based side have now turned to Vitoria boss Rui Borges who returns to his former club just one week on from his departure.

The hosts come into this Primeira Liga contest having been held to score draws in each of their last four matches across all competitions. Vitoria picked up a 1:1 Conference League draw against Fiorentina while each of their last three Primeira Liga matchups finished deadlocked at 2:2, including at Farense last week.

Strong at the Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Vitoria are unbeaten in six of their last seven home fixtures, while they have failed to score only twice in 26 previous matches in front of their own support. 

High-scoring outcomes have been frequent at this venue with five of their six most recent home fixtures seeing over 2.5 goals scored.

Sporting have also seen plenty of high-scoring outcomes this season, particularly in away fixtures. Over 2.5 goals were scored in seven of their last eight road matches.

Previous encounters between these sides have followed a similar theme. A minimum of three goals were scored in seven of their last ten meetings, including a 3:2 Vitoria win in their most recent meeting at this venue.

With both teams keen to impress under new management, we can expect a fiery contest with a high-scoring outcome looking likely. Over 2.5 goals is my first pick, with both teams likely to net at the Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques.

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Sporting CP

    3 : 0

    Vitoria Guimaraes

    Liga Portugal

  2. Vitoria Guimaraes

    3 : 2

    Sporting CP

    Liga Portugal

  3. Vitoria Guimaraes

    0 : 2

    Sporting CP

    Liga Portugal

  4. Sporting CP

    3 : 0

    Vitoria Guimaraes

    Liga Portugal

  5. Vitoria Guimaraes

    1 : 3

    Sporting CP

    Liga Portugal

  6. Sporting CP

    1 : 0

    Vitoria Guimaraes

    Liga Portugal

Vitoria Guimaraes team news

Interim boss Daniel Sousa has four expected absentees this week. Toni Borevković, Jesús Ramírez, Bruno Gaspar and Nélson Oliveira are likely to remain sidelined for the home side.

Last matches of

  1. Farense

    2 : 2

    Vitoria Guimaraes

    Liga Portugal

  2. Vitoria Guimaraes

    2 : 2

    CD Nacional

    Liga Portugal

  3. Vitoria Guimaraes

    1 : 1

    Fiorentina

    Europa Conference League

  4. Rio Ave

    2 : 2

    Vitoria Guimaraes

    Liga Portugal

  5. St. Gallen

    1 : 4

    Vitoria Guimaraes

    Europa Conference League

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 14

    Bruno Varela

Defenders

  • 22

    Alberto Baio

  • 3

    Mikel Villanueva

  • 15

    Óscar Rivas

Midfielders

  • 13

    João Teixeira Mendes

  • 17

    João Mendes

  • 6

    Manuel Jorge Silva

  • 10

    Tiago Silva

Forwards

  • 11

    Kaio César

  • 71

    Gustavo Silva

  • 77

    Nuno Santos

Sporting Lisbon team news

Head coach Borges is likely to keep faith with the same XI that claimed a vital 1:0 win against Benfica last week. 

Injured quartet Nuno Santos, Pedro Gonçalves, Gonçalo Inácio and Daniel Bragança are all expected to miss out.

Last matches of

  1. Sporting CP

    1 : 0

    Benfica

    Liga Portugal

  2. Gil Vicente

    0 : 0

    Sporting CP

    Liga Portugal

  3. Sporting CP

    1 : 0

    Santa Clara

    Taça De Portugal

  4. Sporting CP

    3 : 2

    Boavista

    Liga Portugal

  5. Club Brugge

    2 : 1

    Sporting CP

    Champions League

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Franco Israel

Defenders

  • 72

    Eduardo Quaresma

  • 26

    Ousmane Diomande

  • 3

    Jerry St. Juste

  • 21

    Geny Catamo

Midfielders

  • 5

    Hidemasa Morit

  • 42

    Morten Hjulmand

  • 2

    Matheus Reis

Forwards

  • 17

    Francisco Trincão

  • 9

    Viktor Gyokeres

  • 5

    Geovany Quenda

Key Facts Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Sporting Lisbon

  1. Vitoria de Gumaraes have seen over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 home matches
  2. Sporting Lisbon have seen over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 away Primeira Liga matches
  3. Sporting Lisbon have seen over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10 matches against Vitoria de Guimaraes 
  4. Vitoria de Gumaraes won 3:2 when these sides last met at this venue

Main prediction -

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

58% winrate

wins

7 wins in a row

Originally from Scotland, Ryan is an experienced betting expert and content producer based out of Barcelona, Spain.

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& current standing in Liga Portugal

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Sporting CP 17 13 2 2 48 - 14 +34 41
2 Porto 16 13 1 2 40 - 9 +31 40
3 Benfica 17 12 2 3 38 - 11 +27 38
4 Sporting Braga 17 9 4 4 30 - 19 +11 31
5 Santa Clara 16 10 0 6 18 - 16 +2 30
6 Vitória SC 17 6 7 4 26 - 22 +4 25
7 Casa Pia 16 6 5 5 18 - 19 -1 23
8 Moreirense 17 6 4 7 22 - 25 -3 22
9 Famalicão 16 4 7 5 19 - 19 0 19
10 Rio Ave 16 5 4 7 17 - 27 -10 19
11 Gil Vicente 16 4 6 6 18 - 25 -7 18
12 Estrela Amadora 16 4 4 8 14 - 25 -11 16
13 AVS 17 2 9 6 13 - 24 -11 15
14 Estoril 16 3 6 7 14 - 26 -12 15
15 Nacional 16 3 4 9 11 - 23 -12 13
16 Farense 16 3 4 9 11 - 23 -12 13
17 Boavista 16 2 6 8 10 - 23 -13 12
18 Arouca 16 3 3 10 10 - 27 -17 12

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting Lisbon - FAQ

? Vitoria de Guimaraes Player to Watch

 Gustavo Silva - The Brazilian forward has scored four goals in his last five appearances.

? Sporting Lisbon Player to Watch

Viktor Gyökeres - The Swedish forward has scored 18 goals in 16 Primeira Liga appearances this season.