Villarreal vs Real Madrid prediction 15.03.2025 | La Liga

Villarreal

Villarreal

Kick off:

Date:

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

3.13

X

4.10

2

2.21

  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: Saturday, 15th March, 2025
  • Kickoff: 17:30 UK / 18:30 CET
  • Venue: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

More or less, Villarreal have been among the teams that constantly secured Europe. However, they failed to do so last season, and after an early exit from Copa del Rey, Villarreal focused on La Liga. Right now, the Yellow Submarine is in an excellent position as they hold fifth place with 44 points from 26 rounds. Right now, fourth-place and Champions League spots are three points away, and they have played one game less than 4th-placed Athletico Madrid. However, losing 1:0 in the last match against Alaves while having a player extra for more than half an hour is a massive setback.

Real Madrid are coming to this game after securing the Champions League Quarter-Finals after beating their city rival Atletico Madrid in a penalty shootout. However, it seems Los Blancos are not playing at an expected level, especially in La Liga. They dropped to 2nd place but are on a level with points with 1st placed Barcelona, although with a game played more. The bookies do not trust them too much as they offer odds between 2.75 and 3.0 to win the title. Still, they will have a pretty easy schedule in La Liga after the Villarreal game, which could help them regain the top spot.

Villarreal vs Real Madrid pick: Over 2.5 goals

Before losing against Alaves, Villarreal were really good, as they won four and drew two while scoring 14 goals - 2.3 per game. But even in that 1:0 loss against Alaves, where Villarreal failed to score, they were unlucky, considering they created 2.64 xG!

Real Madrid scored 57 goals in 27 La Liga games - 2.11 per game. But looking at their offensive talent, that is hardly a surprise, and scoring two or more goals against anyone is a real scenario. A good thing for this bet is the fact that they showed some defensive flaws, failing to keep a clean sheet in the last four games in all competitions.

We saw three or more goals in the last three h2h games at Estadio de la Ceramica, every time with both teams scoring. Considering the previous h2h games at Villarreal and all the above, we believe we will see three goals, very likely with both teams scoring.

Villarreal vs Real Madrid Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Real Madrid

    2 : 0

    Villarreal

    La Liga

  2. Villarreal

    4 : 4

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  3. Real Madrid

    4 : 1

    Villarreal

    La Liga

  4. Real Madrid

    2 : 3

    Villarreal

    La Liga

  5. Villarreal

    2 : 3

    Real Madrid

    Copa Del Rey

  6. Villarreal

    2 : 1

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

Villarreal

Villarreal team news

After a 1:0 loss to Alaves, coach Marcelino spoke to the media. He said they weren't good enough and should better exploit the numerical advantage. "We missed a lot of chances and made a lot of individual attempts that weren't very productive. Alaves were more decisive in the penalty areas and won the match," the coach added. 

Ilias Akhomach, Kiko Femenia, and Gerard Moreno, who missed the previous games with injuries, should remain sidelined.

Last matches of Villarreal

  1. Alaves

    1 : 0

    Villarreal

    La Liga

  2. Rayo Vallecano

    0 : 1

    Villarreal

    La Liga

  3. Villarreal

    1 : 1

    Valencia

    La Liga

  4. Las Palmas

    1 : 2

    Villarreal

    La Liga

  5. Villarreal

    5 : 1

    Real Valladolid

    La Liga

Villarreal lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Diego Conde

Defenders

  • 8

    Juan Foyth

  • 5

    Willy Kambwala

  • 2

    Logan Costa

  • 23

    Sergi Cardona

Midfielders

  • 21

    Yeremy Pino

  • 18

    Pape Gueye

  • 10

    Dani Parejo

  • 16

    Alex Baena

Forwards

  • 19

    Nicolas Pepe

  • 22

    Ayoze Perez

Real Madrid

Real Madrid team news

In the previous game against Atletico Madrid, Ferland Mendy suffered an injury and had to leave the field several minutes before the end of the match. For now, the French left full-back is listed as doubtful. Instead of him, we will see Fran Garcia on the left side.

Moreover, Daniel Carvajal, Dani Ceballos, Eder Militao, and Jesus Vallejo, who missed the previous games with injuries, should remain sidelined.

Last matches of Real Madrid

  1. Atletico Madrid

    2 : 4

    Real Madrid

    Champions League

  2. Real Madrid

    2 : 1

    Rayo Vallecano

    La Liga

  3. Real Madrid

    2 : 1

    Atletico Madrid

    Champions League

  4. Real Sociedad

    0 : 1

    Real Madrid

    Copa Del Rey

  5. Real Madrid

    2 : 0

    Girona

    La Liga

Real Madrid lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Thibaut Courtois

Defenders

  • 8

    Federico Valverde

  • 35

    Raul Asencio

  • 22

    Antonio Rudiger

  • 20

    Fran Garcia

Midfielders

  • 10

    Luka Modric

  • 14

    Aurelien Tchouameni

  • 5

    Jude Bellingham

Forwards

  • 11

    Rodrygo

  • 9

    Kylian Mbappe

  • 7

    Vinicius Junior

Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Villarreal scored at least a goal in six of the last seven games
  2. Real Madrid averages 2.11 scored goals in La Liga
  3. RM failed to keep a clean sheet in the previous four matches
  4. We saw three or more goals in the last three h2h games at Villarreal

Main prediction Villarreal - Real Madrid

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

bet365

1.5

Bet here

Villarreal & Real Madrid current standing in La Liga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 26 18 3 5 71 - 25 +46 57
2 Real Madrid 27 17 6 4 57 - 26 +31 57
3 Atlético Madrid 27 16 8 3 44 - 18 +26 56
4 Athletic Club 27 13 10 4 45 - 24 +21 49
5 Villarreal 26 12 8 6 48 - 36 +12 44
6 Real Betis 27 11 8 8 35 - 33 +2 41
7 Mallorca 27 10 7 10 26 - 33 -7 37
8 Rayo Vallecano 27 9 9 9 29 - 29 0 36
9 Celta de Vigo 27 10 6 11 40 - 41 -1 36
10 Sevilla 27 9 9 9 32 - 36 -4 36
11 Real Sociedad 27 10 4 13 23 - 28 -5 34
12 Getafe 27 8 9 10 23 - 22 +1 33
13 Girona 27 9 6 12 35 - 40 -5 33
14 Osasuna 26 7 12 7 32 - 37 -5 33
15 Espanyol 26 7 7 12 25 - 37 -12 28
16 Valencia 27 6 9 12 30 - 45 -15 27
17 Leganés 27 6 9 12 24 - 40 -16 27
18 Deportivo Alavés 27 6 8 13 30 - 40 -10 26
19 Las Palmas 27 6 6 15 30 - 45 -15 24
20 Real Valladolid 27 4 4 19 18 - 62 -44 16

Bookmakers for betting on Villarreal vs Real Madrid

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Villarreal vs Real Madrid - FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Villarreal this season?

The average xG for Villarreal in La Liga this season is 1.59.

? How much is the average xG for Real Madrid this season?

The average xG for Real Madrid in La Liga this season is 1.84.