Rayo Vallecano vs Real Valladolid prediction 07.02.2025 | La Liga

• Competition: La Liga
• Date: Friday, 7th February, 2025
• Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
• Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid)

Rayo Vallecano are perhaps playing their best season in the 100-year-old club's history. "Los Franjirrojos" are sitting in sixth place with 32 points from 22 matches and are currently in a position to secure their second European appearance ever! For some reason, they have been more successful on the road than at home, and in order to stay among the top six teams, it is crucial to win home games. This home game against the last-placed team in La Liga is a must-win for them to keep their European dream alive.

Real Valladolid are one of the teams that constantly traveled between La Liga and La Liga 2. After securing promotion last year, they are only looking to survive this season, but that isn't going according to plan, considering they are in 20th (last) place with only 15 points in 22 rounds. They are now eight points away from the safe zone, and what is even worse, as the season progresses, they only look worse and worse.

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Valladolid pick: Rayo Vallecano to win and cover the -1 AH spread

Rayo Vallecano are in excellent form, having lost just once in 11 games in all competitions. Their only loss was against Real Sociedad in the Cup, 3:1 away from home. Still, to be fair, they were good in that match and deserved a lot more from the match. Just with a little more luck, we would speak about an 11-game unbeaten run.

Meanwhile, Real Valladolid lost three in a row and five of the last six matches! During that time, they allowed 16 goals - 2.7 per game. And away from home, "The White and Violets" have been absolutely terrible, losing six La Liga games in a row while allowing two or more goals on five occasions. They even had problems in the Cup against lower-tier teams like Real Avila (won after extra time) and Ourense CF (lost 3:2).

In the last three h2h league games, Rayo won every time. Considering the previous h2h games and a massive difference in form, we expect the hosts to secure a comfortable win and move closer to reaching Europe.