Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel prediction 02.03.2025 | Bundesliga

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  • Competition: Bundesliga
  • Date: Sunday, 2nd March 2025
  • Kickoff: 14:30 UK / 15:30 CET
  • Venue: Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin)

Union Berlin are far from an impressive team this season, but they should avoid the relegation dogfight. With 11 Bundesliga rounds left in the season, the club from  Stadion An der Alten Forsterel are nine points ahead of the drop zone. However, Union Berlin's form is far from satisfying, as they have won only two of the last 17 matches in all competitions. Last weekend, Union Berlin lost 6-0 on the road against Borussia Dortmund. They had no real chance, as the home side completely outplayed them. 

Holstein Kiel are the worst team in the Bundesliga this season, and with eight points fewer than the safety, it seems unlikely they will avoid returning to the second level of German football. Holstein Kiel are terrible since the winter break, with only one victory in eight matches. In the previous game, they lost 2-0 at home against Bayer Leverkusen. The home side finished the match with an xG of 0.31, while the guests had 1.90, so Holstein Kiel stayed empty-handed. 

Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel pick: Over 2.5 goals

Five of the last six Union Berlin games were with three or more goals. On the other hand, Holstein Kiel are the worst defensive team in the competition with 2.56 allowed goals per game. We should expect at least three goals on Sunday at Stadion An der Alten Forsterei. 

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. FC Union Berlin

    1 : 2

    Holstein Kiel

    Club Friendlies 3

  2. Holstein Kiel

    0 : 2

    FC Union Berlin

    Bundesliga

  3. FC Union Berlin

    3 : 0

    Holstein Kiel

    Club Friendlies 1

  4. Holstein Kiel

    0 : 2

    FC Union Berlin

    2. Bundesliga

  5. FC Union Berlin

    2 : 0

    Holstein Kiel

    2. Bundesliga

  6. Holstein Kiel

    3 : 2

    FC Union Berlin

    Club Friendlies 1

Union Berlin team news

Union Berlin's head coach, Steffen Baumgart, came in January after a series of bad results. However, he won only seven points in eight matches, and his status could be questioned if Union Berlin doesn't find better form. 

Most Union Berlin players are available for Sunday. They will be without Aljoscha Kemlein, while Kevin Vogt and Robert Skov are questionable.

Last matches of

  1. Borussia Dortmund

    6 : 0

    FC Union Berlin

    Bundesliga

  2. FC Union Berlin

    1 : 2

    Borussia M`gladbach

    Bundesliga

  3. Hoffenheim

    0 : 4

    FC Union Berlin

    Bundesliga

  4. FC Union Berlin

    0 : 0

    RB Leipzig

    Bundesliga

  5. St Pauli

    3 : 0

    FC Union Berlin

    Bundesliga

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Frederik Ronnow

Defenders

  • 18

    Josip Juranovic

  • 5

    Danilho Doekhi

  • 4

    Diogo Leite

  • 15

    Tom Rothe

Midfielders

  • 29

    Lucas Tousart

  • 13

    Andras Schafer

  • 8

    Rani Khedira

Forwards

  • 11

    Woo-yeong Jeong

  • 23

    Andrej Ilic

  • 16

    Benedict Hollerbach

Holstein Kiel team news

Holstein Kiel have big problems with injuries. They will be without Colin Klein-Bekel, Alexander Bernhardsson, and Carl Johansson. Also, Finn Porath, John Tolkin, Steven Skrzybski, Patrick Erras, Benedikt Pichler, and Ivan Nekic are questionable. 

Last matches of

  1. Holstein Kiel

    0 : 2

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Bundesliga

  2. Eintracht Frankfurt

    3 : 1

    Holstein Kiel

    Bundesliga

  3. Holstein Kiel

    2 : 2

    Bochum

    Bundesliga

  4. Bayern Munich

    4 : 3

    Holstein Kiel

    Bundesliga

  5. VfL Wolfsburg

    2 : 2

    Holstein Kiel

    Bundesliga

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Timon Weiner

Defenders

  • 6

    Marko Ivezic

  • 26

    David Zec

  • 3

    Marco Komenda

Midfielders

  • 23

    Lasse Rosenboom

  • 37

    Armin Gigovic

  • 22

    Nicolai Remberg

  • 24

    Magnus Knudsen

  • 33

    Dominik Javorcek

Forwards

  • 19

    Phil Harres

  • 18

    Shuto Machino

4 Reasons why we should see three or more goals in this match

  1. Union Berlin allowed eight goals in the last two matches
  2. There were three or more goals in each of the previous three Union Berlin games
  3. Holstein Kiel allowed 59 goals in 23 Bundesliga rounds
  4. There were three or more goals in nine of the last ten Holstein Kiel games

Main prediction -

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

8 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

1xBet

1.9

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& current standing in Bundesliga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 24 19 4 1 72 - 20 +52 61
2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 24 15 8 1 55 - 28 +27 53
3 Eintracht Frankfurt 24 12 6 6 50 - 37 +13 42
4 FSV Mainz 05 24 12 5 7 39 - 25 +14 41
5 SC Freiburg 24 12 4 8 34 - 36 -2 40
6 RB Leipzig 24 10 8 6 39 - 33 +6 38
7 VfL Wolfsburg 24 10 7 7 48 - 38 +10 37
8 Borussia Mönchengladbach 24 11 4 9 38 - 35 +3 37
9 VfB Stuttgart 24 10 6 8 42 - 37 +5 36
10 Borussia Dortmund 24 10 5 9 45 - 38 +7 35
11 FC Augsburg 24 8 8 8 27 - 35 -8 32
12 Werder Bremen 24 8 6 10 36 - 49 -13 30
13 TSG Hoffenheim 24 6 7 11 31 - 46 -15 25
14 FC Union Berlin 24 6 6 12 21 - 36 -15 24
15 St. Pauli 24 6 3 15 18 - 29 -11 21
16 Holstein Kiel 24 4 4 16 35 - 59 -24 16
17 Heidenheim 24 4 3 17 27 - 50 -23 15
18 VfL Bochum 1848 24 3 6 15 22 - 48 -26 15

Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel - FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the DAZN channel.

? How much is the average xG for Union Berlin?

The average xG for Union Berlin in the Bundesliga this season is 1.38.

? How much is the average xG for Holstein Kiel this season?

The average xG for Holstein Kiel in the Bundesliga this season is 1.18.