Sporting CP vs Rio Ave prediction 03.04.2025 | Taca de Portugal

Sporting CP

Sporting CP

Kick off:

Date:

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

1

1.19

X

7.20

2

14.00

  • Competition: Taca de Portugal, Semi-Finals, 1st Leg
  • Date: Thursday, 3rd April, 2025
  • Kickoff: 20:15 UK / 21:15 CEST
  • Venue: Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon)

Sporting CP are one of Portugal's greatest teams and the reigning Liga Pro champ. This year, the popular Lions had an incredible start, but things started changing for the worse when coach Ruben Amorim left in mid-November. They had some ups and downs along the way, but after being eliminated from the CL by Dortmund, the team began playing a lot better. Right now, they are at the top of Liga Portugal with 65 points in 27 rounds - three more than second-placed Benfica, but with one game played more. In this Taca de Portugal duel, Sporting are a massive favorite, with the odds offering odds under 1.1 for them to reach the Finals.

Since returning to the Portugal top-flight division, Rio Ave finished 12th and 11th, while winning 40 and 37 points. This season seems very similar to the last two, as they are around their usual point-per-game average. They sit in 12th place with 29 points in 27 rounds - six away from the danger zone. However, after losing four of the last five, they have every reason to be worried about the remainder of the season.

Sporting CP vs Rio Ave pick: Sporting to win and cover the -2 AH spread

Sporting CP are on a superb five-game winning streak while winning by a two-goal difference on four occasions! They really looked great offensively, and it's fair to expect they will continue with such performance against struggling Rio Ave.

Rio Ave, on the other hand, lost three in a row and four of the last five. Also, if we look at their road games in Liga Portugal, we can see they lost 10 out of 14 games - 71%.

This season, these teams met twice, with Sporting CP winning both games with a combined goal difference of 6:1. Considering the previous h2h games and the difference in form, we strongly believe the Lions will dominate the match and win at home by at least two goals difference.

Sporting CP vs Rio Ave Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Rio Ave

    0 : 3

    Sporting CP

    Liga Portugal

  2. Sporting CP

    3 : 1

    Rio Ave

    Liga Portugal

  3. Rio Ave

    3 : 3

    Sporting CP

    Liga Portugal

  4. Sporting CP

    2 : 0

    Rio Ave

    Liga Portugal

  5. Rio Ave

    0 : 1

    Sporting CP

    Liga Portugal

  6. Rio Ave

    0 : 2

    Sporting CP

    Taça da Liga

Sporting CP

Sporting CP team news

Hidemasa Morita is the newest name on the injury list. The 29-year-old was on international duty with Japan, but unfortunately, he returned to the team with a muscle injury and will most likely miss the Taca de Portugal game.

Besides Morita, the players who missed the previous games should remain sidelined - Daniel Braganca, Pedro Goncalves, Nuno Santos, and Joao Simoes.

Last matches of Sporting CP

  1. Estrela Amadora

    0 : 3

    Sporting CP

    Liga Portugal

  2. Sporting CP

    3 : 1

    Famalicao

    Liga Portugal

  3. Casa Pia

    1 : 3

    Sporting CP

    Liga Portugal

  4. Sporting CP

    3 : 1

    Estoril

    Liga Portugal

  5. Gil Vicente

    0 : 1

    Sporting CP

    Taça De Portugal

Sporting CP lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 24

    Rui Silva

Defenders

  • 72

    Eduardo Quaresma

  • 26

    Ousmane Diomande

  • 25

    Goncalo Inacio

Midfielders

  • 22

    Ivan Fresneda

  • 6

    Zeno Debast

  • 73

    Eduardo Felicissimo

  • 2

    Matheus Reis

Forwards

  • 17

    Trincao

  • 9

    Viktor Gyokeres

  • 57

    Geovany Quenda

Rio Ave

Rio Ave team news

After a 2:1 loss to Casa Pia, midfielder Joao Novais spoke to the media. He attributed the loss to poor passing and noted their own mistakes were the reason why they lost points. He also added they were too impatient during decisive moments.

When it comes to injuries, Tobias Medina and Francisco Petrasso, who missed the previous games with injuries, should remain sidelined. 

Last matches of Rio Ave

  1. Casa Pia

    2 : 1

    Rio Ave

    Liga Portugal

  2. Rio Ave

    2 : 3

    Benfica

    Liga Portugal

  3. Famalicao

    1 : 0

    Rio Ave

    Liga Portugal

  4. Estoril

    2 : 1

    Rio Ave

    Liga Portugal

  5. Rio Ave

    1 : 1

    AVS

    Liga Portugal

Rio Ave lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Cezary Miszta

Defenders

  • 17

    Marious Vrousai

  • 3

    Andreas Ntoi

  • 2

    Jonathan Panzo

  • 98

    Omar Richards

Midfielders

  • 34

    Demir Ege Tiknaz

  • 16

    Brandon Aguilera Zamora

  • 80

    Ole Pohlmann

Forwards

  • 19

    Kiko Bondoso

  • 9

    Clayton

  • 7

    Andre Luiz

4 Reasons why Sporting CP should win and cover the -2 AH spread

  1. Sporting CP won the last five games
  2. Sporting CP scored three goals per game in the last four matches
  3. Rio Ave lost the previous three games
  4. Sporting CP won both h2h games this season (3:1 and 3:0)

Main prediction Sporting CP - Rio Ave

AH1 (-2)

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

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1.8

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Sporting CP vs Rio Ave - FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Sporting CP this season?

The average xG for Sporting CP in the league this season is 2.01.

? How much is the average xG for Rio Ave this season?

The average xG for Rio Ave in the league this season is 1.17.