Sporting CP vs Braga prediction 07.04.2025 | Liga Portugal

Kick off:

Date:

1

1.40

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4.50

2

8.00

  • Competition: Liga Portugal
  • Date: Monday, 7th April, 2025
  • Kickoff: 20:45 UK / 21:45 CET
  • Venue: Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon)

On Monday evening, two of the best Portuguese teams, Sporting CP and Braga, will face off in the 28th Liga Portugal round at Estádio José Alvalade in Lisbon.

Sporting had an interesting year. From a team that looked fantastic under coach Ruben Amorim to a pretty poor one when the mentioned coach left. However, they found their rhythm lately and started playing great once again. Now, they are on a six-game winning streak and are at the top of the league's table with 65 points from 27 rounds. However, they are on level with points with second-placed Benfica and will have to keep winning points to stay there.

Braga have been Portugal's third or fourth-best team for over a decade. This year, the situation looks pretty much the same - they are fourth with 56 points from 27 rounds but on a level with points with FC Porto. With seven rounds to go, it is almost certain that they will finish either third or fourth, as they are nine points away from second place and ten away from fifth place.

Sporting CP vs Braga pick: Sporting CP to win and cover the -1 AH spread

Sporting CP has been a pretty dominant team in the domestic league this season, winning 20 out of 27 games - 74%. At home, that number is even higher - 85% (11 out of 13)! Additionally, ten of those 11 wins were by two or more goals. Also, Sporting CP are red-hot, winning six in a row while covering the -1.5 spread on five occasions.

Braga are in good form as well, winning three in a row. However, away from home, they had some rough games. In the last four matches, they only won against SC Farense 1:0. Against good teams both in the domestic competitions and EL, they really struggled and should struggle against Sporting CP as well.

In the last h2h game, Sporting won 4:2. Additionally, Sporting CP won the last three h2h games at home, every time by 5:0! Considering the trend at Estádio José Alvalade and all the above, we believe Sporting CP should secure a comfortable home win over Braga.

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Braga

    2 : 4

    Sporting CP

    Liga Portugal

  2. Sporting CP

    5 : 0

    Braga

    Liga Portugal

  3. Braga

    1 : 0

    Sporting CP

    Taça da Liga

  4. Braga

    1 : 1

    Sporting CP

    Liga Portugal

  5. Sporting CP

    5 : 0

    Braga

    Liga Portugal

  6. Sporting CP

    5 : 0

    Braga

    Taça da Liga

Sporting CP team news

After a 2:0 win in the previous game against Rio Ave, coach Rui Borges spoke to the media. He said they were a better team overall and were dominant for 90-95 minutes of the game. The coach also said they created many good goalscoring chances and could have finished the job in the first tie. Still, he noted he is happy with the teams' performance regardless of the missed chances. 

Maximiliano Araujo and Morten Hjulmand served their one-game suspensions in the previous league game and will be available. On the other hand, Joao Simoes, Nuno Santos, Hidemasa Morita, Pedro Goncalves, and Daniel Braganca, who missed the previous games with injuries, should remain sidelined.

Last matches of

  1. Sporting CP

    2 : 0

    Rio Ave

    Taça De Portugal

  2. Estrela Amadora

    0 : 3

    Sporting CP

    Liga Portugal

  3. Sporting CP

    3 : 1

    Famalicao

    Liga Portugal

  4. Casa Pia

    1 : 3

    Sporting CP

    Liga Portugal

  5. Sporting CP

    3 : 1

    Estoril

    Liga Portugal

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 24

    Rui Silva

Defenders

  • 26

    Ousmane Diomande

  • 72

    Eduardo Quaresma

  • 2

    Matheus Reis

Midfielders

  • 22

    Ivan Fresneda

  • 42

    Morten Hjulmand

  • 6

    Zeno Debast

  • 20

    Maximiliano Araujo

Forwards

  • 57

    Geovany Quenda

  • 9

    Viktor Gyokeres

  • 17

    Trincao

Braga team news

After a 2:1 win over Arouca, coach Carlos Carvalhal spoke to the media. He said they played a very good first half where they scored two goals. In the second half (and especially in the last half an hour of the game), they struggled to press up, and Arouca started playing better. The coach concluded that they were a better team and deservedly won.

When it comes to injuries, the players who missed the previous match(es) should remain sidelined - Roger Fernandes and Fran Navarro.

Last matches of

  1. Braga

    2 : 1

    Arouca

    Liga Portugal

  2. Farense

    0 : 1

    Braga

    Liga Portugal

  3. Benfica

    1 : 0

    Braga

    Taça De Portugal

  4. Braga

    1 : 0

    CD Nacional

    Liga Portugal

  5. Vitoria Guimaraes

    0 : 0

    Braga

    Liga Portugal

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 91

    Lukas Hornicek

Defenders

  • 2

    Victor Gomez

  • 15

    Paulo Oliveira

  • 3

    Robson Bambu

  • 55

    Chissumba

Midfielders

  • 10

    Uros Racic

  • 8

    Joao Moutinho

  • 16

    Rodrigo Zalazar Martinez

Forwards

  • 21

    Ricardo Horta

  • 9

    Amine El Ouazzani

  • 77

    Gabri Martinez

3 Reasons Sporting CP should win and cover the -1 AH spread

  1. Sporting CP won six in a row while covering the -1.5 AH spread on five occasions
  2. Braga won once in the last four road games
  3. Sporting CP won the previous h2h game 4:2

Main prediction -

AH1 (-1)

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

1xBet

1.57

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& current standing in Liga Portugal

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Benfica 28 22 2 4 69 - 23 +46 68
2 Sporting CP 28 20 6 2 74 - 24 +50 66
3 Sporting Braga 28 17 6 5 45 - 24 +21 57
4 Porto 28 17 5 6 54 - 25 +29 56
5 Santa Clara 28 14 4 10 28 - 27 +1 46
6 Vitória SC 28 11 12 5 40 - 29 +11 45
7 Famalicão 28 10 10 8 35 - 31 +4 40
8 Casa Pia 28 11 7 10 34 - 36 -2 40
9 Estoril 28 10 9 9 38 - 43 -5 39
10 Moreirense 28 9 8 11 34 - 39 -5 35
11 Nacional 28 8 5 15 26 - 38 -12 29
12 Arouca 28 7 8 13 27 - 43 -16 29
13 Rio Ave 28 7 8 13 30 - 47 -17 29
14 Gil Vicente 28 6 8 14 27 - 42 -15 26
15 Estrela Amadora 28 6 8 14 22 - 41 -19 26
16 AVS 28 4 11 13 21 - 44 -23 23
17 Farense 28 3 9 16 19 - 40 -21 18
18 Boavista 28 4 6 18 19 - 46 -27 18

Sporting CP vs Braga - FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Sporting CP this season?

The average xG for Sporting CP in the Liga Portugal this season is 2.01.

? How much is the average xG for Braga this season?

The average xG for Braga in the Liga Portugal this season is 1.57.