Santos vs Chapecoense prediction 01.07.2024

• Competition: Serie B
• Date: Monday, 1st July, 2024
• Kickoff: 23:00 UTC +1
• Venue: Estadio Urbano Caldeira (Santos)

Santos is one of the biggest football clubs in Brazil. However, last season, they suffered a devastating relegation to Serie B for the first time in their 111-year history. This season, they are looking for an instant return. Since four teams will be promoted, Santos are surely among the primary candidates for promotion. Now, they are in fifth place with 19 points, only one point away from fourth place and three away from the top spot.

Since their relegation in 2021 from Serie A, Chapecoense had two rough following seasons, finishing 15th and 16th, three and one point away from relegation. This season, they are once again in the lower part of the league's table and one of the relegation candidates. Currently, they are in 16th place with 14 points,, just two points away from the danger zone. Still, since they have two games played more than 17th-placed CRB, Chapecoense could easily slip into the relegation zone soon.

Santos vs Chapecoense pick: Under 2.5 goals

Santos were on a four-game losing streak before winning four points in the last two games against Mirassol and Goias. Still, we cannot say they have been too good offensively, even in those two matches when they secured positive results. In the last six matches, they only scored five goals - 0.83 per game, which is well below their season average of almost 1.6 per game.

With ten scored goals in 12 rounds, Chapecoense are among the worst offensive teams in the league. Away from home, they are even worse as they average only 0.5 goals per game (three goals in six rounds). On the positive side, they are one of the best road teams when it comes to defending, as they have allowed only four goals so far. Poor offense and good defense (away from home) make them perfect for this type of bet. Because of that combination, Chapecoense were under 2.5 goals in five of six matches while averaging only 1.2 goals per game!

In the previous h2h games, these teams played only low-scoring games, with the last nine finishing with fewer than three goals. Considering all the above, an under 2.5 goals bet might be the safest option for this Serie B match.