Poland vs Scotland Prediction 18.11.2024 | Nations League
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Contents
- Competition: UEFA Nations League
- Date: Monday, 18th, November 2024
- Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20.45 CET
- Venue: PGE Narodowy (Warsaw)
Monday’s closing day of the UEFA Nations League group phase sees Poland host Scotland at the PGE Narodowy, with both teams battling to stave off relegation to League B.
Heading into their November assignments, the Poles still harbored hopes of securing a quarterfinal spot in next year’s UEFA Nations League, but a humiliating 5-1 defeat to a CR7-inspired Portugal has put their elite tier status in serious jeopardy. Considering that advancement is now mathematically out of reach, Michal Probierz’s squad is concentrating on preserving their League A position, which will only be possible if they manage to steer clear of defeat on the closing day.
While their UEFA Nations League campaign got off to an unimaginably poor start, suffering three losses from as many matches, the Scots managed to wake up when it mattered most, and their late resurgence has reignited hopes of reaching the knockout stages of the tournament. Firstly, the Tartan Army neutralized Portugal’s attack to earn a scoreless draw last month, before claiming their first win in the tournament by beating 10-man Croatia at Hampden, with John McGinn’s lone goal proving to be the match-winner.
Poland vs Scotland Betting Tips: X2 (DOUBLE CHANCE)
Even with the advantage of playing on home turf, we remain skeptical that the unimpressive Polish side can craft a victory plan, especially when considering their attack will be significantly weakened by Lewandowski’s absence. The absence of Barcelona's star striker, combined with the Eagles' porous defense that has leaked three or more goals in each of their last three UNL outings, will be music to the ears of a revitalized Scotland as they look to capitalize on their chances of success in Warsaw.
It's true that the Tartan Army have been stuck in a rut in recent months, but a well-earned draw with Portugal and a thrashing of Croatia certainly deserve attention and give Clarke's side a huge boos of confidence as they approach the decisive group-stage clash. While the Eagles are out of the race for progression, the Scots still have a chance to sneak into the top two, but they’ll need to claim all three points from Monday’s visit and hope Portugal takes down Croatia, who currently sit second. In a do-or-die clash for both teams, the stakes are high, but we firmly believe that Clarke's motivated squad will capitalize on Poland's current crisis and leave PGE Narodowy with smiles on their faces.
Poland vs Scotland Head to Head (H2H) stats
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Scotland
2 : 3
Poland
UEFA Nations League
-
Scotland
1 : 1
Poland
Friendly International
-
Scotland
2 : 2
Poland
Euro Qualification
-
Poland
2 : 2
Scotland
Euro Qualification
-
Poland
0 : 1
Scotland
Friendly International
Poland team news
Poland’s attack has been severely affected by the absence of Arkadiusz Milik and all-time top scorer Robert Lewandowski, leaving Krzysztof Piatek to lead the line, potentially joined by either Swiderski or Urbanski.
Sampdoria’s right-back Bartosz Bereszynski was forced off in the 32nd minute during his team’s 1-5 loss to Portugal due to a apparent injury, with Jakub Kaminski expected to replace him in Monday’s crucial clash.
Last matches of Poland
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Portugal
5 : 1
Poland
UEFA Nations League
-
Poland
3 : 3
Croatia
UEFA Nations League
-
Poland
1 : 3
Portugal
UEFA Nations League
-
Croatia
1 : 0
Poland
UEFA Nations League
-
Scotland
2 : 3
Poland
UEFA Nations League
Poland lineup
Goalkeeper
-
22
Marcin Bulka
Defenders
-
14
Jakub Kiwior
-
5
Jan Bednarek
-
2
Kamil Piatkowski
Midfielders
-
21
Nicola Zalewski
-
20
Sebastian Szymanski
-
10
Piotr Zielinski
-
26
Kacper Urbanski
-
13
Jakub Kaminski
Forwards
-
23
Krzysztof Piatek
-
7
Karol Swiderski
Scotland team news
Manager Steve Clarke is expected to stick with the same starting XI that led his national team to their first tournament win, with hero John McGinn, scorer of the match-winner against Croatia, potentially starting here.
The backline of Robertson, Hanley, Souttar, and Ralston, who were key in keeping Portugal and Croatia off the scoresheet, is set to be trusted once again by the head coach for the upcoming match on Monday.
Last matches of Scotland
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Scotland
1 : 0
Croatia
UEFA Nations League
-
Scotland
0 : 0
Portugal
UEFA Nations League
-
Croatia
2 : 1
Scotland
UEFA Nations League
-
Portugal
2 : 1
Scotland
UEFA Nations League
-
Scotland
2 : 3
Poland
UEFA Nations League
Scotland lineup
Goalkeeper
-
24
Craig Gordon
Defenders
-
3
Andrew Robertson
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4
Grant Hanley
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5
John Souttar
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2
Anthony Ralston
Midfielders
-
16
Billy Gilmour
-
8
Kenny McLean
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7
Ryan Christie
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17
Scott McTominay
-
27
Ben Doak
Forwards
-
9
Lyndon Dykes
4 Reasons why we expect X2 (Double chance)
- Poland have gone four consecutive matches without a win (D1 L3).
- Poland have conceded three or more goals in three consecutive UNL matches.
- Scotland have remained unbeaten in back-to-back UNL outings (W1 D1).
- Scotland have avoided defeat against Poland in five of their last six H2H matches.
Main prediction Poland - Scotland
Scotland win or draw (X2)
Best Odds:
Additional predictions
Poland & Scotland current standing in UEFA Nations League
Group 1 | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Portugal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 - 5 | +8 | 14 |
2 | Croatia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 - 8 | 0 | 8 |
3 | Scotland | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 - 8 | -1 | 7 |
4 | Poland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 - 16 | -7 | 4 |