Poland vs Lithuania prediction 21.03.2025 | World Cup Qualifiers

Poland

Poland

Kick off:

Date:

Lithuania

Lithuania

1

1.19

X

7.40

2

14.50

Contents

  • Competition: World Cup Qualifiers
  • Date: 21st March 2025
  • Kick-off: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: National Stadium Warsaw

Poland and Lithuania go head to head in Warsaw on Friday night, with both sides looking to start their 2026 World Cup qualifying campaigns on a winning note.

The hosts have not tasted victory since beating Scotland 3-2 in the Nations League in September. Michał Probierz's side are winless in their last five matches, losing four and conceding an average of almost three goals per game.

Lithuania lost all six of their matches in the Nations League group stage. Including previous World Cup qualifiers, the visitors are now without a win in six consecutive matches, a run that looks set to be extended this week as they have failed to win each of their last four meetings with Poland.

Poland vs Lithuania Betting Tips: Over 2.5 goals

Lithuania didn't just fail to pick up a single point during the Nations League campaign, they also had the worst defence in Group 2, conceding almost two goals per game. They conceded more than two goals in all but one of their three away matches.

And although Poland won just one of their last eleven competitive matches, Robert Lewandowski and Co rarely fail to score, with the team boasting at least one goal in eight of their last nine games. In seven of those games, three or more goals were scored and I expect a similar result this week.

  • Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals
  • Poland vs Lithuania prediction: 2-1

Poland vs Lithuania Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Poland

    4 : 0

    Lithuania

    Friendly International

  2. Poland

    0 : 0

    Lithuania

    Friendly International

  3. Poland

    2 : 1

    Lithuania

    Friendly International

Poland

Poland team news

Serie A duo Sebastian Walukiewicz and Nicola Zalewski didn't make the 25-man squad named by head coach Michał Probierz last week due to injury.

Poland's all-time leading scorer Robert Lewandowski is back in the squad after missing the Nations League matches in November with a back injury.

Lewandowski's Barcelona teammate Wojciech Szczęsny is not in the squad. The goalkeeper reportedly turned down the opportunity to return to the national team.

Last matches of Poland

  1. Poland

    1 : 2

    Scotland

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Portugal

    5 : 1

    Poland

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Poland

    3 : 3

    Croatia

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Poland

    1 : 3

    Portugal

    UEFA Nations League

  5. Croatia

    1 : 0

    Poland

    UEFA Nations League

Poland lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Łukasz Skorupski

Defenders

  • 5

    Jan Bednarek

  • 3

    Paweł Dawidowicz

  • 14

    Jakub Kiwior

Midfielders

  • 19

    Przemysław Frankowski

  • 10

    Piotr Zieliński

  • 18

    Bartosz Slisz

  • 6

    Jakub Piotrowski

  • 8

    Kacper Urbanski

Forwards

  • 7

    Karol Świderski

  • 9

    Robert Lewandowski

Lithuania

Lithuania team news

Kauno Žalgiris midfielder Fedor Černych is the most-capped player (97) in the Lithuanian squad named by head coach Edgaras Jankauskas for the international break.

Fedor is also the team's top scorer with 15 goals, while Deividas Mikelionis and Lukas Paukštė are still hoping to make their first appearances for Rinktine.

Last matches of Lithuania

  1. Kosovo

    1 : 0

    Lithuania

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Cyprus

    2 : 1

    Lithuania

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Lithuania

    1 : 2

    Romania

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Lithuania

    1 : 2

    Kosovo

    UEFA Nations League

  5. Romania

    3 : 1

    Lithuania

    UEFA Nations League

Lithuania lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Edvinas Gertmonas

Defenders

  • 13

    Justas Lasickas

  • 20

    Titas Milašius

  • 4

    Edvinas Girdvainis

  • 19

    Edgaras Utkus

  • 17

    Pijus Širvys

Midfielders

  • 15

    Gvidas Gineitis

  • 6

    Modestas Vorobjovas

  • 10

    Fedor Černych

Forwards

  • 9

    Gytis Paulauskas

  • 14

    Vykintas Slivka

Three reasons we expect at least three goals in this game

  1. Four of the last five games of Lithuania ended with over 2.5 goals.
  2. Three or more goals were seen in nine of the last eleven games of Poland.
  3. The last meeting between Poland and Lithuania ended with four goals.

Main prediction Poland - Lithuania

Over 2.5 goals

Kate Richardson

By Kate Richardson

Updated

clock
winrate

58% winrate

wins

6 wins in a row

Strategic Betting Analyst: Expert in Developing and Implementing Data-Driven, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies.

Best Odds:

bet365

1.57

Bet here

Additional predictions

Poland VS Lithuania

1 X 2 Over 2.5 Under 2.5
1xBet logo 1xBet 1.19 7.40 14.50 1.53 2.38
22Bet logo 22Bet 1.19 7.40 14.50 1.53 2.38
Melbet logo Melbet 1.19 7.40 14.50 1.53 2.38
bet365 logo bet365 1.18 6.50 19.00 1.57 2.35

Poland & Lithuania current standing in WC Qualification Europe

Group A P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Luxembourg 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
2 Northern Ireland 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
3 Slovakia 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
Group B P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Kosovo 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
2 Slovenia 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
3 Sweden 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
4 Switzerland 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
Group C P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Belarus 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
2 Greece 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
3 Scotland 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
Group D P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Azerbaijan 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
2 Iceland 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
3 Ukraine 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
Group E P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Bulgaria 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
2 Georgia 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
3 Turkey 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
Group F P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Armenia 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
2 Hungary 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
3 Republic of Ireland 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
Group G P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Finland 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
2 Lithuania 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
3 Malta 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
4 Poland 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
Group H P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Austria 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
2 Bosnia and Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
3 Cyprus 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
4 Romania 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
5 San Marino 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
Group I P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Estonia 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
2 Israel 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
3 Moldova 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
4 Norway 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
Group J P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Belgium 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
2 Kazakhstan 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
3 Liechtenstein 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
4 North Macedonia 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
5 Wales 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
Group K P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Albania 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
2 Andorra 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
3 England 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
4 Latvia 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
5 Serbia 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
Group L P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Czech Republic 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
2 Faroe Islands 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
3 Gibraltar 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
4 Montenegro 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0

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Poland vs Lithuania - FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Friday’s World Cup Qualifier between Poland and Lithuania on Sofascore.

? What’s the average number of corner kicks Poland won per game in their last five competitive matches?

3.80

? What’s the average number of yellow cards Lithuania received per game in their last five outings?

1.60