Paraguay vs Brazil Prediction 11.09.2024 | WC 2026 Qualifiers
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Brazil
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Contents
- Competition: WC Qualifiers South America
- Date: Wednesday, 11th, September 2024
- Kickoff: 01:30 UK / 02:30 CEST
- Venue: Estadio Defensores del Chaco (Asuncion)
Brazil will look to cap off their September fixtures on a high note as they visit Estadio Defensores del Chaco to take on Paraguay in round eight of the 2026 World Cup qualifiers on Wednesday.
Following a catastrophic performance at the Copa America this summer, the Paraguayan FF swiftly responded by dismissing Daniel Garnero, placing Gustavo Alfaro in charge as the new head coach. With the aim of prolonging his tenure, the 62-year-old manager will do everything in his power to guide his team to World Cup qualification for the first time since 2010, even though he knows that Los Guaraníes' performances to date have been far from impressive, collecting just six points from the opening seven qualifiers.
On the other hand, Brazil also delivered a below-par performance at the 2024 Copa America, as they packed their bags in the quarterfinals after Uruguay proved better in the penalty shootout, once again confirming that they are no longer the dominant force they once were. Although they can boast the highest number of World Cup victories of any nation with five titles, the Selecao have struggled to advance beyond the quarterfinals for many years, and their last triumph in this tournament came 24 years ago.
Paraguay vs Brazil Betting Tips: UNDER 2.5
Both nations have shown a lack of creativity and sharpness in the attacking segment throughout the World Cup qualifying campaign, so we anticipate a muted contest with little action, where a solitary goal could make the difference between the two sides. Paraguay has been utterly toothless in attack during their World Cup qualifiers so far, as they have shockingly fired blank in six out of seven such matches and struck only once in their sole victory against Bolivia.
Los Guaranies can proudly boast the second-best defensive record here with only three goals conceded, and their solid backline helped them earn a big point over the weekend as they held the powerful Uruguay to a goalless draw. The mix of ineffective offense and strong defense has led to Paraguay’s matches being utterly dull, as none of their opening seven qualifiers have seen more than one goal.
Despite having top-class strikers, Brazil have struggled with a lack of cutting edge in the final third over the past few months, as they have failed to score more than one goal in five of their last six matches, including in their first September fixture where Rodrigo’s first-half strike was enough to defeat Ecuador. It’s truly hard to believe that the toothless Paraguay will find a way to break through Brazil’s resistance, but Alfaro’s team will once again rely on their rock-solid defense to disrupt Selecao’s rhythm, and we think they will largely succeed in doing so, hence we are predicting under.
Paraguay vs Brazil Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Paraguay
1 : 4
Brazil
Copa America
-
Brazil
4 : 0
Paraguay
WC Qualification South America
-
Paraguay
0 : 2
Brazil
WC Qualification South America
-
Brazil
0 : 0
Paraguay
Copa America
-
Brazil
3 : 0
Paraguay
WC Qualification South America
-
Paraguay
2 : 2
Brazil
WC Qualification South America
Paraguay team news
Paraguay will miss their captain Gustavo Gomez for the upcoming Brazil match, as the 31-year-old Palmeiras center-back is banned for one game following his second yellow card against Uruguay in the World Cup qualifiers.
Additionally, newly appointed coach Gustavo Alfaro is expected to be without Andres Cubas, who was forced off in the 56th minute over the weekend due to an apparent injury, with Mathias Villasanti set to take his place in midfield.
Last matches of Paraguay
-
Costa Rica
2 : 1
Paraguay
Copa America
-
Paraguay
1 : 4
Brazil
Copa America
-
Chile
3 : 0
Paraguay
Friendly International
-
Peru
0 : 0
Paraguay
Friendly International
-
Paraguay
0 : 1
Colombia
WC Qualification South America
Paraguay lineup
Goalkeeper
-
12
Gatito Fernández
Defenders
-
6
Júnior Alonso
-
3
Omar Alderete
-
5
Fabián Balbuena
-
2
Gustavo Velázquez
Midfielders
-
16
Damián Bobadilla
-
23
Mathías Villasanti
-
8
Diego Gómez
Forwards
-
21
Isidro Pitta
-
19
Julio Enciso
-
10
Miguel Almirón
Brazil team news
Brazil will be without Eder Militao for their second September qualifier as the Real Madrid centre-back has left the national team camp due to a muscular injury sustained before the match against Ecuador.
Head coach Dorival Junior is expected to rely on all players who started Saturday’s match, except for Guilherme Arana, who suffered a late injury, which will see Porto’s left-back Wendell included in the starting XI.
Last matches of Brazil
-
Brazil
1 : 0
Ecuador
WC Qualification South America
-
Uruguay
4 : 2
Brazil
Copa America
-
Brazil
1 : 1
Colombia
Copa America
-
Paraguay
1 : 4
Brazil
Copa America
-
Brazil
0 : 0
Costa Rica
Copa America
Brazil lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Alisson
Defenders
-
6
Wendell
-
14
Gabriel Magalhães
-
4
Marquinhos
-
2
Danilo
Midfielders
-
8
Lucas Paquetá
-
5
Bruno Guimarães
-
18
André
Forwards
-
10
Rodrygo
-
7
Vinicius Junior
-
20
Luiz Henrique
3 Reasons why we expect Under 2.5
- All seven of Paraguay's opening qualifying matches have seen no more than one goal.
- Paraguay have managed to score only one goal from their first seven World Cup qualifying matches.
- Brazil have scored more than one goal in only one of their last six matches.
Main prediction Paraguay - Brazil
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
Additional predictions
Paraguay & Brazil current standing in WC Qualification South America
Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Argentina | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 21 - 7 | +14 | 25 |
2 | Uruguay | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 17 - 9 | +8 | 20 |
3 | Ecuador | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 11 - 4 | +7 | 19 |
4 | Colombia | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 - 10 | +5 | 19 |
5 | Brazil | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 - 11 | +6 | 18 |
6 | Paraguay | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 8 - 7 | +1 | 17 |
7 | Bolivia | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13 - 27 | -14 | 13 |
8 | Venezuela | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11 - 15 | -4 | 12 |
9 | Chile | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 - 20 | -11 | 9 |
10 | Peru | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 3 - 15 | -12 | 7 |