Palmeiras vs Vitória prediction 27.07.2024

• Competition: Serie A
• Date: Saturday, 27th July, 2024
• Kickoff: 23:00 UK / 00:00 CEST
• Venue: Allianz Parque (Sao Paulo)

Palmeiras came to this season as the back-to-back Serie A winner in the previous two years. Before the start of Serie A this year, popular Verdao managed to win a really challenging Paulista State League, where they compete against teams like Santos, Sao Paulo, and Corinthians. Verdao are again among the favorites to win the title this year, and they did start off well. However, after two losses in the last three games, they dropped to third place and are now four points away from the first-placed Botafogot RJ.

With two promotions in a row, Vitoria quickly moved from Serie C to Serie A. Yet, they are a team that is more or less a relegation candidate whenever they are in Serie A, and this year is no different. The Rubro-negro are 17th with 15 points, two points away from the safe zone, and played two games more than 16th-placed Cuiaba. Right now, they are in terrible form, having lost four in a row. So, it is hard to expect they can break that losing streak away from home against the reigning champs.

Palmeiras vs Vitoria pick: Under 2.5 goals

Palmeiras are in pretty poor form, as they lost two of the last three games while scoring only two goals during that stretch. Additionally, Palmeiras played mostly low-scoring games this season, especially at home, where they were superb defensively. Because of excellent defense, 70% of their league games at Allianz Parque finished with fewer than three goals - seven of ten. Only Gremio and Juventude had more home games (eight) with fewer than three goals.

Vitoria are in terrible form, having lost four in a row while scoring just one goal! Considering they are averaging 1.05 goals per game in Serie A, we can see they are nowhere near that average. Yes, the primary reason for their poor offensive display is a tough schedule, but a game against Palmeiras will be no easier by any means. So, even scoring a goal will be a challenge.

In the previous h2h game, Palmeiras won 1:0 at Barradao Stadium. Considering all the above, an under 2.5 goals bet should be the best option for this Serie A tie.