Contents
- Competition: Serie A
- Date: Saturday, 27th July, 2024
- Kickoff: 23:00 UK / 00:00 CEST
- Venue: Allianz Parque (Sao Paulo)
Palmeiras came to this season as the back-to-back Serie A winner in the previous two years. Before the start of Serie A this year, popular Verdao managed to win a really challenging Paulista State League, where they compete against teams like Santos, Sao Paulo, and Corinthians. Verdao are again among the favorites to win the title this year, and they did start off well. However, after two losses in the last three games, they dropped to third place and are now four points away from the first-placed Botafogot RJ.
With two promotions in a row, Vitoria quickly moved from Serie C to Serie A. Yet, they are a team that is more or less a relegation candidate whenever they are in Serie A, and this year is no different. The Rubro-negro are 17th with 15 points, two points away from the safe zone, and played two games more than 16th-placed Cuiaba. Right now, they are in terrible form, having lost four in a row. So, it is hard to expect they can break that losing streak away from home against the reigning champs.
Palmeiras vs Vitoria pick: Under 2.5 goals
Palmeiras are in pretty poor form, as they lost two of the last three games while scoring only two goals during that stretch. Additionally, Palmeiras played mostly low-scoring games this season, especially at home, where they were superb defensively. Because of excellent defense, 70% of their league games at Allianz Parque finished with fewer than three goals - seven of ten. Only Gremio and Juventude had more home games (eight) with fewer than three goals.
Vitoria are in terrible form, having lost four in a row while scoring just one goal! Considering they are averaging 1.05 goals per game in Serie A, we can see they are nowhere near that average. Yes, the primary reason for their poor offensive display is a tough schedule, but a game against Palmeiras will be no easier by any means. So, even scoring a goal will be a challenge.
In the previous h2h game, Palmeiras won 1:0 at Barradao Stadium. Considering all the above, an under 2.5 goals bet should be the best option for this Serie A tie.
Palmeiras vs Vitória Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Vitória
0 : 1
Palmeiras
Serie A
-
Palmeiras
3 : 2
Vitória
Serie A
-
Vitória
0 : 3
Palmeiras
Serie A
-
Vitória
3 : 1
Palmeiras
Serie A
-
Palmeiras
4 : 2
Vitória
Serie A
Palmeiras team news
Midfielder Raphael Veiga received his third yellow card against Fluminense and will serve his one-game suspension against Vitoria. So far, Veiga has been super important for Palmeiras, starting in 84% of the games, scoring two and assisting three goals in 17 appearances. He participated in 19% of Palmeiras' goals in Serie A.
Few players suffered injuries in recent matches and will most likely remain sidelined: Mayke, Estevao, Murilo, and Joaquin Piquerez, while Bruno Rodrigues is out with a long-term injury.
Last matches of Palmeiras
-
Fluminense
1 : 0
Palmeiras
Serie A
-
Palmeiras
2 : 0
Cruzeiro
Serie A
-
Botafogo
1 : 0
Palmeiras
Serie A
-
Palmeiras
2 : 0
Bahia
Serie A
-
Fortaleza
3 : 0
Palmeiras
Serie A
Palmeiras lineup
Goalkeeper
-
21
Weverton
Defenders
-
2
Marcos Rocha
-
15
Gustavo Gomez
-
44
Vitor Reis
-
6
Vanderlan
Midfielders
-
5
Anibal Moreno
-
8
Ze Rafael
-
27
Richard Rios
Forwards
-
9
Filipe Anderson
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez
-
7
Dudu
Vitória team news
Striker Janderson served his one-game suspension in the previous match against Flamengo RJ and will be available. However, he is only a backup option and wasn't great this season, scoring only one goal in 12 appearances.
According to the club's president, Rodrigo Andrade and Dudu will no longer play for Vitoria. The duo were involved in a fight with fans at a bar in Canabrava. Andrade's contract is until December, and the club said he will not get an extension, while Dudu will be loaned to another club since he has a contract until 2027.
Camutanga, Luan Santos, and Bruno Uvini, who missed the previous games with injuries, should remain sidelined.
Last matches of Vitória
-
Gremio
2 : 0
Vitória
Serie A
-
Fortaleza
3 : 1
Vitória
Serie A
-
Vitória
0 : 1
Botafogo
Serie A
-
Vitória
2 : 1
Criciúma
Serie A
-
Vitória
0 : 1
Atletico PR
Serie A
Vitória lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Lucas Arcanjo
Defenders
-
97
Willean Lepo
-
15
Caio Vinicius
-
4
Wagner Leonardo
-
16
Lucas Esteves
Midfielders
-
5
Leo Naldi
-
28
Ricardo
-
29
Willian Oliveira
Forwards
-
30
Matheuzinho
-
9
Alerrandro
-
11
Osvaldo
4 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals
- Palmeiras were under 2.5 goals in four of the last five games
- Palmeiras scored just two goals in the last three matches
- Vitoria scored one goal in the last four games
- The previous h2h game ended as a 1:0 win for Palmeiras
Main prediction Palmeiras - Vitória
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds: