Otelul vs CFR Cluj prediction 11.11.2024 | Liga 1

• Competition: Liga 1
• Date: Monday, 11th November, 2024
• Kickoff: 19:00 UK / 20:00 CET
• Venue: Stadionul Otelul (Galati)

Otelul Galati returned to the Romanian top-flight division last season and had a pretty good year. Even though they finished in the Relegation Group, they were at the top of it and even had a chance to play in the Conference League Playoff but failed to reach Qualifiers. But they were the most impressive in the Cup, where they reached the Finals, eventually losing to Corvinul. This year, they had an awesome start with an 11-game unbeaten run. Unfortunately, they have started slowing down and dropped to 9th place with 20 points in 15 rounds. Nonetheless, they are still just two points away from the Championship Group.

In recent seven seasons, Cluj were among the best teams in Romania, winning five league titles during that time. Last season, it was evident they are no longer a dominant team in Liga 1, finishing second. This season, they had their ups and downs and are currently in third place with 24 points in 15 rounds - six away from the top spot. It seems that winning another title will be a very challenging task for the team from Cluj-Napoca.

Otelul Galati vs CFR Cluj pick: Under 2.5 goals

Otelul Galati are in terrible form, with their last win being against Sepsi back in August! During their nine-game winless period, they have scored only four goals - 0.44 per game. So, it is unreal to expect a dominant performance against one of the teams in the league. Additionally, mainly due to a poor offense (but a good defense as well), Otelul are by far the best team in Liga 1 for this type of bet. 87% of their league games finished with under 2.5 goals.

Most of Cluj's good offensive performances came at home. On the road in Liga 1, they scored just seven goals in six rounds. But they compensated for that with an excellent defense. Away from home, they allowed just three goals in six rounds and are by far the best road defensive team in that department. Additionally, away from home, Cluj averages only 1.7 goals per game, which is by far the least in the league.

In the previous five h2h games, we saw fewer than three goals on four occasions. Considering the previous h2h games and all the above, an under 2.5 goals bet seems like the best option for this Liga 1 tie.