Mirassol vs Gremio prediction 16.04.2025 | Serie A

Kick off:

Date:

1

2.45

X

3.00

2

3.20

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Wednesday, 16th April, 2025
  • Kickoff: 23:00 UK / 00:00 CEST
  • Venue: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)

Last year, Mirassol secured promotion to Serie A after finishing second in Serie B. After that, they had a terrible state league run and continued with poor performances in Serie A! The team from Sao Paulo opened the season with two draws and a loss in the first three rounds and haven't had too challenging a schedule. Their goal has to be only to survive this year, but judging from the first three games of the season, that will not be an easy task.

Gremio had a difficult season behind them as they finished 14th. That was a truly terrible result, considering they finished second the year before. Before the start of Serie A, the team from Porto Alegre did well in their state league, reaching the finals, which they eventually lost to Internacional. Meanwhile, in Serie A, they haven't had the start they wanted, as they won one and lost two and sit in 13th place. On the positive side, Gremio did well in the Copa Sudamericana, winning both games at the start of the competition.

Mirassol vs Gremio pick: Under 2.5 goals

Mirassol are playing poorly. If we combine the state league games, they haven't won in the last ten matches! During that time, they scored zero or one goal in nine out of those ten matches. So, we definitely do not think they can offer a good offensive display.

Gremio have been inconsistent at the start of the season, and we are unsure what we can expect from them. However, we can see they have played low-scoring games lately, as their last three matches finished with fewer than three goals.

Additionally, these teams were under 2.5 goals in two of three Serie A games - 67% Considering all the above, an under 2.5 goals seems like the best bet for this Serie A tie.

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Mirassol

    3 : 2

    Gremio

    Copa do Brasil

Mirassol team news

Recently, coach Rafael Guanes spoke about the team. He noted their efficiency is not on the desired level, and that is the key to everything. " I can say that we were efficient in terms of the number of chances created and the greater number of goals scored while also giving up very little in terms of defense," the coach added. 

David Braz, Leo Gamalho, Luiz Otavio, Matheus Sales, Negueba, Rafa Silva, and Ze Vitor, who missed the previous games with injuries, should remain sidelined.

Last matches of

  1. Mirassol

    1 : 1

    Fortaleza

    Serie A

  2. Mirassol

    2 : 3

    Palmeiras

    Paulista A1

  3. Red Bull Bragantino

    3 : 0

    Mirassol

    Paulista A1

  4. Mirassol

    1 : 1

    Noroeste

    Paulista A1

  5. Mirassol

    3 : 2

    Guarani FC

    Paulista A1

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 23

    Alex Muralha

Defenders

  • 19

    Lucas Ramon

  • 34

    Joao Victor

  • 3

    Jemmes

  • 20

    Daniel Borges

Midfielders

  • 25

    Neto Moura

  • 21

    Jose Aldo

  • 8

    Danielzinho

  • 27

    Gabriel

Forwards

  • 29

    Clayson

  • 17

    Cristian Renato

Gremio team news

In the previous game against Flamengo, central defender Rodrigo Ely suffered an injury and had to leave the field after only 27 minutes. With him out, Jemerson should get the opportunity to start as a replacement. 

Also, Walter Kannemann and Cristian Olivera, who missed the previous games with injuries, should remain sidelined. 

Last matches of

  1. Sportivo Luqueño

    1 : 2

    Gremio

    Copa Sudamericana

  2. SC Internacional

    1 : 1

    Gremio

    Gaucho 1

  3. Gremio

    2 : 1

    Juventude

    Gaucho 1

  4. São Raimundo RR

    1 : 4

    Gremio

    Copa do Brasil

  5. Ypiranga Erechim

    0 : 1

    Gremio

    Gaucho 1

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Tiago Volpi

Defenders

  • 18

    Joao Pedro

  • 21

    Jemerson

  • 3

    Wagner Leonardo

  • 25

    Lucas Esteves

Midfielders

  • 8

    Edenilson

  • 15

    Camilo Reijers

  • 20

    Mathias Villasanti

  • 10

    Franco Cristaldo

Forwards

  • 22

    Martin Braithwaite

  • 7

    Cristian Pavon

3 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. Mirassol scored three goals in the first three Serie A games
  2. Gremio scored two goals in the first three Serie A games
  3. Both teams were under 2.5 goals in two of the three league matches

Main prediction -

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22Bet

1.59

Bet here

& current standing in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Flamengo 3 2 1 0 5 - 2 +3 7
2 Palmeiras 3 2 1 0 4 - 1 +3 7
3 Juventude 3 2 0 1 4 - 3 +1 6
4 Vasco da Gama 3 2 0 1 5 - 5 0 6
5 Fluminense 3 2 0 1 3 - 3 0 6
6 Internacional 3 1 2 0 4 - 1 +3 5
7 Fortaleza 3 1 2 0 3 - 1 +2 5
8 Ceará 3 1 1 1 5 - 4 +1 4
9 Corinthians 3 1 1 1 4 - 3 +1 4
10 Botafogo 3 1 1 1 2 - 1 +1 4
11 Bragantino 3 1 1 1 4 - 4 0 4
12 Cruzeiro 3 1 1 1 3 - 5 -2 4
13 Grêmio 3 1 0 2 2 - 5 -3 3
14 Bahia 3 0 3 0 4 - 4 0 3
15 São Paulo 3 0 3 0 1 - 1 0 3
16 Mirassol 3 0 2 1 3 - 4 -1 2
17 Atlético Mineiro 3 0 2 1 3 - 4 -1 2
18 Santos 3 0 1 2 3 - 5 -2 1
19 Vitória 3 0 1 2 3 - 6 -3 1
20 Sport Recife 3 0 1 2 2 - 5 -3 1

Mirassol vs Gremio - FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Sky+ (Bra) channel.

? How much is the average xG for Mirassol this season?

The average xG for Mirassol in the Serie A this season is 1.66.

? How much is the average xG for Gremio this season?

The average xG for Gremio in the Serie A this season is 1.39.