Mexico vs Ecuador prediction 01.07.2024 | Copa America

• Competition: Copa America
• Date: Monday, 1st July 2024
• Kickoff: 01:00 UTC +1 / 02:00 CEST
• Venue: State Farm Stadium (Glendale, AZ)

Before the Copa America started, we expected Mexico and Ecuador to battle for first place in group B. However, after two rounds, Venezuela are the group leader with six points from two matches, while Mexico and Ecuador have three points each, so they will fight in the third round for the second position and place in the knockout phase. 

Mexico faced difficulties in their friendlies leading up to the Copa America, but expectations were high that Jaime Lozano's team would show improvement once the tournament began. Their campaign started with a hard-fought 1-0 win against Jamaica. However, their fortunes took a surprising turn with a 1-0 loss to Venezuela in the next match. Despite Mexico generating a significantly higher expected goals (xG) total of 2.99 compared to Venezuela's 1.09, they suffered a defeat that left them needing a victory against Ecuador in their final group game to progress to the next round.

Ecuador played well in friendlies, so they came to Copa America with a lot of optimism. However, in the first round, they suffered a shocking 2-1 defeat against Venezuela. In the second match, Ecuador dominated the game against Jamaica and recorded a win that gave them a lot of confidence to pass the group. Ecuador will progress to the knockout phase with a draw or a win. 

Mexico vs Ecuador pick: Ecuador to win AH (0)

Mexico are struggling offensively lately. They scored only three goals in the last four matches. On the other hand, Ecuador played well in June. We should expect Ecuador to be much closer to a win in this game.