Manchester City vs West Ham prediction 04.01.2025 | Premier League
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Contents
- Competition: Premier League
- Date: Saturday, 4th January, 2025
- Kickoff: 15:00 UK / 16:00 CET
- Venue: Etihad Stadium (Manchester)
Manchester City have been a dominant force in England in the previous years, winning six titles in the last seven years. However, this season has been an absolute disaster as the Citizens are 6th in the Premier League with 31 points - 14 points away from the first-placed Liverpool, and with one game played more. Moreover, the Citizens were eliminated from the Carabao Cup in the 1/8 Finals and are struggling in the Champions League as well, considering they are in 22nd place with eight points in six rounds - just one point away from dropping out of the 1/16 Finals spots. The only good thing is that they finally stopped their winless streak with a win in the last game over Leicester (2:0).
West Ham had their ups and downs in recent years. From a team that battles for Europe and won the Conference League to a team that looks like a relegation candidate. This year, the Hammers were a fairly stable mid-table team, not good enough to compete for Europe but also not bad enough to be involved in a relegation battle. Currently, they are in 13th place with 23 points from 19 rounds, and even though there is a lot of football to be played, we believe this 13th place is a fair placement. We expect them to stay around these spots at the end of the season.
Manchester City vs West Ham pick: Under 3.5 goals
Manchester City are in terrible form. They won twice in the last 14 games while scoring 17 goals - 1.21 per game. That is way below what we expect from them, and we do not trust them right now to offer a good offensive display.
West Ham haven't shown much offensively this season, scoring 23 goals in 19 rounds - 1.21 per game. And away from home, that number is even lower for around 0.1 goals per game. Since they will be without their key forward, Jarrod Bowen, we do not expect much from them offensively. Bowen has scored five and assisted four in 19 PL appearances, participating in 39% of West Ham goals.
Moreover, these teams were over 3.5 goals in only 32% of their Premier League games - six out of 19!
Considering all the above, we believe that an under 3.5 goals bet looks like the best option for this Premier League tie.
vs Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
West Ham United
1 : 3
Manchester City
Premier League
-
Manchester City
3 : 1
West Ham United
Premier League
-
West Ham United
1 : 3
Manchester City
Premier League
-
Manchester City
3 : 0
West Ham United
Premier League
-
West Ham United
0 : 2
Manchester City
Premier League
-
West Ham United
2 : 2
Manchester City
Premier League
Manchester City team news
In recent days, coach Pep Guardiola spoke to the media about the club's situation. The Spanish coach said their title hope is over and that they will focus on securing the Champions League next year. He also hinted they will be active in the January transfer window.
When it comes to injuries, the players who missed the previous games should remain sidelined - Rodri, Ederson, Rodrigo Castante, Oscar Bobb, Ruben Dias, Matheus Nunes, and John Stones.
Last matches of
-
Leicester City
0 : 2
Manchester City
Premier League
-
Manchester City
1 : 1
Everton
Premier League
-
Aston Villa
2 : 1
Manchester City
Premier League
-
Manchester City
1 : 2
Manchester United
Premier League
-
Juventus
2 : 0
Manchester City
Champions League
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
18
Stefan Ortega
Defenders
-
82
Rico Lewis
-
25
Manuel Akanji
-
6
Nathan Ake
-
24
Josko Gvardiol
Midfielders
-
17
Kevin De Bruyne
-
8
Mateo Kovacic
-
20
Bernardo Silva
Forwards
-
47
Phil Foden
-
9
Erling Haaland
-
26
Savinho
West Ham team news
In the previous game against Liverpool, both Guido Rodriguez and Tomas Soucek served their one-game suspensions for collecting five yellow cards in the previous matches. Both will be available for the MC game.
According to credible sources, Jarrod Bowen suffered a broken leg in the previous game against Liverpool and will most likely be sidelined for a long time. Also, Lukasz Fabianski should remain sidelined with a head injury.
Last matches of
-
West Ham United
0 : 5
Liverpool
Premier League
-
Southampton
0 : 1
West Ham United
Premier League
-
West Ham United
1 : 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
Premier League
-
AFC Bournemouth
1 : 1
West Ham United
Premier League
-
West Ham United
2 : 1
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Premier League
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
23
Alphonse Areola
Defenders
-
5
Vladimir Coufal
-
29
Aaron Wan-Bissaka
-
15
Konstantinos Mavropanos
-
26
Max Kilman
-
33
Emerson
Midfielders
-
10
Lucas Paqueta
-
19
Edson Alvarez
-
28
Tomas Soucek
-
14
Mohammed Kudus
Forwards
-
11
Niclas Füllkrug
3 Reasons why we should see fewer than four goals
- Manchester City scored one or zero goals in four out of the last five matches
- West Ham were under 3.5 goals in four out of the last five matches
- Both teams were under 3.5 goals in 69% of their PL games
Main prediction -
Under 3.5 goals
Best Odds:
Additional predictions
& current standing in Premier League
Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Liverpool | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 45 - 17 | +28 | 45 |
2 | Arsenal | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 39 - 18 | +21 | 40 |
3 | Nottingham Forest | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 26 - 19 | +7 | 37 |
4 | Chelsea | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 39 - 24 | +15 | 36 |
5 | Newcastle United | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 34 - 22 | +12 | 35 |
6 | Manchester City | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 36 - 27 | +9 | 34 |
7 | AFC Bournemouth | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30 - 23 | +7 | 33 |
8 | Aston Villa | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 30 - 32 | -2 | 32 |
9 | Fulham | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 28 - 25 | +3 | 29 |
10 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 30 - 29 | +1 | 28 |
11 | Brentford | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 38 - 35 | +3 | 27 |
12 | Tottenham Hotspur | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 42 - 30 | +12 | 24 |
13 | West Ham United | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 - 39 | -15 | 23 |
14 | Manchester United | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 - 26 | -5 | 22 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 - 28 | -7 | 21 |
16 | Everton | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15 - 25 | -10 | 17 |
17 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 31 - 42 | -11 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich Town | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 18 - 33 | -15 | 15 |
19 | Leicester City | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 23 - 44 | -21 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 - 44 | -32 | 6 |