Malaga vs Racing Ferrol prediction 22.03.2025 | La Liga 2

• Competition: La Liga 2
• Date: Saturday, 22nd March, 2025
• Kickoff: 17:30 UK / 18:30 CET
• Venue: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)

Malaga, a stable first-tier team a few years ago, aren't even close to that level. They spent the last year in the third tier but managed to secure a return to La Liga 2. This year, after a pretty good start, their results started to decline. For most of the year, the Andalusian team were between 10th and 14th place but are in poor form at the moment. After losing back-to-back games vs Cadiz and Albacete, the Andalusians are sitting in 17th place with 39 points - only four points away from the danger zone.

Racing Ferrol secured promotion to La Liga 2 in the 2022/23 season and had a decent following year, securing 10th place while winning 59 points (1.48 per game). Unfortunately for them, they are not even close to that level this year, considering they are averaging around a half points fewer than last year. Right now, they are in 20th place with only 23 points (0.75 ppg) and are 13 points away from the safe zone. Even though there are 11 rounds left, we highly doubt they can avoid getting relegation this year.

Malaga vs Racing Ferrol pick: Under 2.5 goals

Malaga lost the last two games vs Cadiz and Albacete without scoring a goal. Against Cadiz, they only had one shot on goal and 0.26 xG, and against Albacete, they failed to score despite having a player more for almost the entire game. They are generally struggling offensively and have scored one or zero goals in seven out of the last eight matches.

With 18 scored goals, Racing Ferrol are tied for the worst offense in La Liga 2. In the last three games vs Eibar, Granada, and Burgos, they failed to score and have scored one or zero goals in 29 out of 31 La Liga 2 games - 93%. So, scoring a goal away from home against anyone seems pretty unreal.

Additionally, these teams were under 2.5 goals in 61.3% of their league games and are among the best teams for this bet in La Liga 2. Considering the trend in their league games, bad offensive performances, and all the above, we firmly believe we will see a low-scoring game.