Leeds vs Luton prediction 27.11.2024 | Championship

Leeds United

Leeds United

Kick off:

Date:

Luton Town F.C.

Luton Town F.C.

1

1.45

X

4.45

2

7.30

  • Competition: Championship
  • Date: Wednesday, 27th November, 2024
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Elland Road (Leeds)

On Wednesday evening, two teams that recently spent time in the Premier League will face off in the 17th round of the Championship at Elland Road in Leeds.

Leeds are trying to return to the Premier League after their relegation in 2022/23. Last year, they finished third, failing to secure direct promotion, and eventually lost in the Playoff Finals as well. This year, the Whites are doing well and are at the top of the Championship league's table with 32 points in 16 rounds. Still, they are on a level with two other teams (Sunderland and Sheffield United), so they must keep winning games to stay where they are.

Luton were relegated from the Premier League last year, and whenever a team drops from the PL to the Championship, they are instantly considered a candidate for a return. Unfortunately, that is not the case, as the Hatters look more like a relegation candidate, considering they are only three points away from the danger zone. They won just 18 points in 16 rounds, but there are some signs of improvement as they won two out of the last three. Still, the Hatters have struggled away from home, and in order to have some chance of reaching the Playoffs, they need to start winning points away from home.

Leeds vs Luton pick: Leeds to win and cover the -1 AH spread

Leeds lost just against Millwall (1:0) in the last 11 games. But that was away from home, where Leeds dominated the game and deserved at least one, if not all, three points. At home, Leeds absolutely crushed their opponents, winning five in a row while winning by two or more goals on four occasions. During that stretch, they even won against Sheffield United (2:0), which are considered as one of the leading candidates for promotion.

Luton managed to win two out of the last three games, but both of those games were at home. On the road, the Hatters are terrible, losing four in a row with 13 conceded goals - 2.6 per game. So, it is unreal to expect a good performance against such a strong home team.

Considering what we have seen from these teams this season, Leeds's fantastic home record, and Luton's terrible performances on the road, we believe that the Whites should secure another comfortable win at Elland Road.

Leeds United vs Luton Town F.C. Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Leeds United

    1 : 1

    Luton Town F.C.

    Championship

  2. Luton Town F.C.

    1 : 2

    Leeds United

    Championship

  3. Luton Town F.C.

    1 : 1

    Leeds United

    League One

  4. Leeds United

    1 : 0

    Luton Town F.C.

    League One

  5. Leeds United

    1 : 0

    Luton Town F.C.

    Championship

  6. Luton Town F.C.

    5 : 1

    Leeds United

    Championship

Leeds United

Leeds team news

Junior Fripo will remain sidelined for the Luton game as he received a three-game ban due to violent behavior after the Millwall game. The referees missed it, but FA eventually punished him as it was caught on video. 

The team should have no new injuries, but Ethan Ampadu, Joe Gelhardt and Ilia Gruev, who missed the previous games, should remain sidelined. Meanwhile, Largie Ramazani recovered from his ankle injury and was on the bench during the last game. 

Last matches of Leeds United

  1. Swansea City

    3 : 4

    Leeds United

    Championship

  2. Leeds United

    2 : 0

    Queens Park Rangers

    Championship

  3. Millwall

    1 : 0

    Leeds United

    Championship

  4. Leeds United

    3 : 0

    Plymouth Argyle

    Championship

  5. Bristol City

    0 : 0

    Leeds United

    Championship

Leeds United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Illan Meslier

Defenders

  • 2

    Jayden Bogle

  • 6

    Joe Rodon

  • 5

    Pascal Struijk

  • 25

    Samuel Byram

Midfielders

  • 22

    Ao Tanaka

  • 11

    Brenden Aaronson

  • 8

    Joe Rothwell

Forwards

  • 7

    Daniel James

  • 10

    Joel Piroe

  • 14

    Manor Solomon

Luton Town F.C.

Luton team news

After a 1:0 win over Hull City, coach Rob Edwards spoke to the media. He was happy with a win, saying they approached the game well and showed character. However, the coach also said they have to be better at stopping crosses because it is something they keep struggling with. 

In the previous game against Hull, three players suffered injuries and had to leave the field. While Shandon Baptiste and Tom Krauss seem to sustain only minor injuries and that they will be ready, Reece Burke will most likely be sidelined. Additionally, Tom Lockyer and Reuell Walters will remain sidelined with their long-term injuries. At the same time, Alfie Doughty is questionable with a knock he sustained two games ago. 

Last matches of Luton Town F.C.

  1. Luton Town F.C.

    1 : 0

    Hull City

    Championship

  2. Middlesbrough

    5 : 1

    Luton Town F.C.

    Championship

  3. Luton Town F.C.

    1 : 0

    Cardiff City

    Championship

  4. Luton Town F.C.

    1 : 1

    West Bromwich Albion

    Championship

  5. Coventry City

    3 : 2

    Luton Town F.C.

    Championship

Luton Town F.C. lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 24

    Thomas Kaminski

Defenders

  • 15

    Teden Mengi

  • 6

    Mark McGuinness

  • 29

    Thomas Holmes

Midfielders

  • 27

    Daiki Hashioka

  • 26

    Shandon Baptiste

  • 8

    Tom Krauss

  • 14

    Tahith Chong

  • 13

    Marvelous Nakamba

Forwards

  • 11

    Elijah Adebayo

  • 9

    Carlton Morris

3 Reasons why Leeds should win and cover the -1 AH spread

  1. Leeds won five home games in a row
  2. Leeds scored two or more goals in the last five home games
  3. Luton lost the last four games away from home, every time by two or more goals

Main prediction Leeds United - Luton Town F.C.

AH1 (-1)

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

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1.74

Bet here

Leeds United & Luton Town F.C. current standing in Championship

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Leeds United 16 9 5 2 28 - 12 +16 32
2 Sunderland 16 9 5 2 26 - 12 +14 32
3 Sheffield United 16 10 4 2 21 - 9 +12 32
4 Burnley 16 8 6 2 19 - 6 +13 30
5 Middlesbrough 16 8 3 5 29 - 19 +10 27
6 West Bromwich Albion 16 6 8 2 18 - 11 +7 26
7 Watford 16 8 2 6 25 - 24 +1 26
8 Millwall 16 6 6 4 19 - 14 +5 24
9 Blackburn Rovers 15 6 4 5 19 - 17 +2 22
10 Bristol City 16 5 7 4 20 - 20 0 22
11 Derby County 16 5 5 6 20 - 20 0 20
12 Stoke City 16 5 5 6 19 - 20 -1 20
13 Norwich City 16 4 7 5 25 - 24 +1 19
14 Swansea City 16 5 4 7 14 - 14 0 19
15 Sheffield Wednesday 16 5 4 7 18 - 26 -8 19
16 Luton Town 16 5 3 8 18 - 26 -8 18
17 Coventry City 16 4 5 7 22 - 23 -1 17
18 Oxford United 16 4 5 7 19 - 24 -5 17
19 Plymouth Argyle 16 4 5 7 17 - 28 -11 17
20 Preston North End 16 3 7 6 16 - 24 -8 16
21 Cardiff City 16 4 4 8 15 - 24 -9 16
22 Hull City 16 3 6 7 16 - 21 -5 15
23 Portsmouth 15 2 6 7 16 - 28 -12 12
24 Queens Park Rangers 16 1 8 7 13 - 26 -13 11

Leeds vs Luton - FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Leeds this season?

The average xG for Leeds in the Championship this season is 1.64.

? How much is the average xG for Luton this season?

The average xG for Luton in the Championship this season is 1.28.