Lecce vs AC Milan prediction 08.03.2025 | Serie A
Lecce
2 - 3
Elapsed: FT
Half time: 1 - 0
Full time: 2 - 3
Kick off:
Date:
AC Milan
1
5.10
X
3.57
2
1.80
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Contents
- Competition: Serie A
- Date: Saturday, 8th March, 2025
- Kickoff: 17:00 UK / 18:00 CET
- Venue: Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce)
Since their promotion to Serie A in the 2021/22 season, Lecce have been among the relegation candidates in the following two seasons. This year, they are once again among the teams that battle to avoid relegation as they sit in 16th place with 25 points from 27 matches - around their point-per-game average from the last two seasons. Right now, they are only three points away from the danger zone, and considering their pretty challenging schedule in the upcoming period, we wouldn't be surprised if they would slip down to the relegation zone.
AC Milan are playing one of their worst seasons in a very long time. After finishing 2nd last year, everyone expected they would once again be among the top four teams in Italy. However, right now, Rossoneri are in 9th place with 41 points from 27 matches - already six points away from European spots. After losing three in a row, they are under pressure to win points in order to secure Europe next year. Also, in the Champions League, Rossoneri have been eliminated from Feyenoord in the 1/16 Fiansl, which is another terrible result by their standards.
Lecce vs AC Milan pick: Under 2.5 goals
Lecce are the worst offensive team in the league by far, with 18 scored goals in 27 rounds - 0.67 per game. And in recent games, their offensive performances have been atrocious, having failed to score in four consecutive games. So, expecting a goal against AC Milan is unreal.
AC Milan lost three in a row. They have massive problems offensively (despite their talent upfront), scoring one or zero goals in the last six consecutive games in all competitions. Also, they really struggled away from home recently, losing five of the previous six matches, so we are very reluctant to take a bet on them to win even though we believe they are a better team overall.
Considering all the above, we strongly believe that an under 2.5 goals bet is the safest bet for this Serie A tie.
Lecce vs AC Milan Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
AC Milan
3 : 0
Lecce
Serie A
-
AC Milan
3 : 0
Lecce
Serie A
-
Lecce
2 : 2
AC Milan
Serie A
-
AC Milan
2 : 0
Lecce
Serie A
-
Lecce
2 : 2
AC Milan
Serie A
-
Lecce
1 : 4
AC Milan
Serie A
Lecce team news
Winger Lameck Banda recovered from a broken ankle after suffering an injury in late November. He was on the bench in the previous game against Fiorentina but hasn't played at all. We expect him to get some playing minutes, but we do not expect him to be in the starting lineup any time soon.
Joan Gonzalez, Filip Marchwinski, and Santiago Pierotti, who missed the previous game(s) with injuries, should remain sidelined for the AC Milan match.
Last matches of Lecce
-
Fiorentina
1 : 0
Lecce
Serie A
-
Lecce
0 : 1
Udinese
Serie A
-
AC Monza
0 : 0
Lecce
Serie A
-
Lecce
0 : 0
Bologna
Serie A
-
Parma
1 : 3
Lecce
Serie A
Lecce lineup
Goalkeeper
-
30
Wladimiro Falcone
Defenders
-
12
Frederic Guilbert
-
6
Federico Baschirotto
-
19
Gaby Jean
-
25
Antonino Gallo
Midfielders
-
29
Lassana Coulibaly
-
75
Balthazar Pierret
-
5
Medon Berisha
Forwards
-
7
Tete Morente
-
9
Nikola Krstovic
-
37
Jesper Karlsson
AC Milan team news
In the previous game against Lazio, Serbian defender Strahinja Pavlovic received a red card and will be suspended for the Lecce game. Also, goalkeeper Mike Maignan received a one-game suspension after insulting the referee in the San Siro Tunel after a 2:1 loss vs Lazio.
When it comes to injuries, the team should have no new ones, but the players who missed the previous matches should remain sidelined - Emerson Royal, Alessandro Florenzi, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, and Chaka Traore.
Last matches of AC Milan
-
AC Milan
1 : 2
Lazio
Serie A
-
Bologna
2 : 1
AC Milan
Serie A
-
Torino
2 : 1
AC Milan
Serie A
-
AC Milan
1 : 1
Feyenoord
Champions League
-
AC Milan
1 : 0
Hellas Verona
Serie A
AC Milan lineup
Goalkeeper
-
57
Marco Sportiello
Defenders
-
32
Kyle Walker
-
46
Matteo Gabbia
-
28
Malick Thiaw
-
19
Theo Hernandez
Midfielders
-
80
Yunus Musah
-
14
Tijjani Reijnders
-
29
Youssouf Fofana
Forwards
-
11
Christian Pulisic
-
7
Santiago Tomas Gimenez
-
10
Rafael Leao
3 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals
- Lecce scored 18 goals in 27 Serie A games
- Lecce were under 2.5 goals in their last four games
- AC Milan scored zero or one goal in the last six matches
Main prediction Lecce - AC Milan
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
1xBet
2
Additional predictions
Lecce & AC Milan current standing in Serie A
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 63 - 27 | +36 | 61 |
| 2 | Napoli | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 43 - 22 | +21 | 57 |
| 3 | Atalanta | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 59 - 26 | +33 | 55 |
| 4 | Juventus | 27 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 45 - 21 | +24 | 52 |
| 5 | Lazio | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 49 - 35 | +14 | 50 |
| 6 | Bologna | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 42 - 33 | +9 | 47 |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 42 - 28 | +14 | 45 |
| 8 | Milan | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42 - 32 | +10 | 44 |
| 9 | Roma | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 42 - 30 | +12 | 43 |
| 10 | Udinese | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 34 - 37 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Torino | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 - 34 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Genoa | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 26 - 36 | -10 | 32 |
| 13 | Como | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34 - 44 | -10 | 29 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28 - 43 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | Hellas Verona | 27 | 8 | 2 | 17 | 27 - 56 | -29 | 26 |
| 16 | Lecce | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 20 - 46 | -26 | 25 |
| 17 | Parma | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 34 - 48 | -14 | 24 |
| 18 | Empoli | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 23 - 44 | -21 | 22 |
| 19 | Venezia | 28 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 23 - 42 | -19 | 19 |
| 20 | Monza | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 23 - 48 | -25 | 14 |
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