Guarani vs Velo Clube prediction 19.02.2025 | Paulista

• Competition: Paulista
• Date: Wednesday, 19th February, 2025
• Kickoff: 22:00 UK / 23:00 CET
• Venue: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Guarani were relegated last season after eight years in the Serie B. The popular "Bugre" continued with poor performances in the State League (Paulista) as well, considering they are in 9th place with 11 points from ten rounds. Still, this state league is one of the best, with a lot of Serie A and B teams like Corinthians, Palmeiras, Sao Paulo, Bragantino, Mirassol, Novorizontino, etc... However, since this league is divided into four groups, Guarani can still make the Quarter Finals through their Group. Right now, they are in 2nd place, but all four teams are separated only by one point!

Velo Clube did very well, winning the Paulista A2 Playoffs against Noroeste 2-1 on aggregate. In the Paulista state league, Velo Clube is (expectedly) not to be doing too great and is only looking to avoid finishing in the last two spots and relegation. Right now, they are in 13th place with nine points in ten rounds - three points away from 15th-placed Agua Santa. After the Guarani game, they will face off against Agua Santa in a match that will most likely decide who will avoid relegation.

Guarani vs Velo Clube pick: Under 2.5 goals

Guarani are in terrible form, winning just one point in the last three games against Ponte Preta, Novorizontino, and Sao Bernardo. During that three-game stretch, they failed to score every time, and it is unlikely we will see a good offensive performance.

Velo Clube are not playing well this season, but they especially struggled away from home. Away from home, they only won two points in five rounds and scored a total of five goals - one per game. So, it is unreal to expect much from them offensively against a team that had four clean sheets in five home matches.

Also, in two h2h games these teams played, we saw fewer than three goals both times. Considering all the above, we expect a low-scoring game.