Gremio vs Juventude prediction 20.11.2024 | Serie A - Brazil

• Competition: Serie A
• Date: Wednesday, 20th November, 2024
• Kickoff: 22:00 UK / 23:00 CET
• Venue: Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre)

Gremio had a super interesting few seasons behind them. From being relegated to Serie B in 2020/21 to an instant return and almost winning the title (2nd) in the following two seasons. However, this season, "Tricolor dos Pampas" are looking like a mid-table team. Right now, they are in 12th place with 39 points in 33 rounds, and reaching the Copa Sudamericana sounds like their maximum. There are only five rounds left, and considering that the relegation zone is only two points away, they could easily drop to Serie B again.

Juventude are a team that fairly often traveled between Serie A and B in recent seasons. Last year, they secured promotion, and their only goal this year is to secure survival. Throughout the season, they were constantly above the danger zone, but with several poor results, they dropped to 17th place. However, they are on a level with points from three teams in front of them. So, every point at this moment is super important for them. The primary reason for their poor placement is their poor road performance.

Gremio vs Juventude pick: Over 2.5 goals

Gremio were inconsistent in recent games, but at home, they have been good, winning three out of the last four games. They have been excellent offensively, scoring three or more goals in all three wins. Still, we do not believe in their defense, as they failed to keep a clean sheet in the last seven home games in all competitions. Due to a good offense and poor defense, Gremio were over 2.5 goals in six out of the last seven home games.

Meanwhile, Juventude constantly played high-scoring games lately. Their last four games finished with at least three goals and an incredible 5.0 goals per game during that stretch.

In the previous two h2h games, each team won their home games, but more importantly for our bet, they were over this line on both occasions (3:0 and 3:1).

Considering all the above, an over 2.5 goals bet sounds like the best option for this Serie A tie.