Germany vs Italy Prediction 23.03.2025 | Nations League

Germany

Germany

Kick off:

Date:

Italy

Italy

1

1.86

X

3.91

2

4.48

  • Competition: UEFA Nations League - Quarter-Finals 2nd leg
  • Date: Sunday, 23rd, March 2025
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)

A place in the UEFA Nations League Final Four for the first time ever is within Germany’s grasp, provided they can hold onto their lead when Italy comes to town for the quarterfinal second leg on Sunday.

Fueled by Kimmich’s influence, Germany clawed their way back from a goal down to silence the home crowd at San Siro, sealing a huge 2-1 triumph over the Italian squad. Despite reaching the knockout stage for the first time in their brief four-year UEFA Nations League history, Julian Nagelsmann's squad now finds itself in a strong position to secure a spot in the final four while also setting sights on lifting the trophy.

Germany vs Italy Betting Tips : GERMANY TO WIN

In the first leg, the German squad made it abundantly clear that they operate on a much higher level than the Italian side, which has been failing for years and seems like a pale shadow of the former famous team. Since Luciano Spalletti's squad will have no choice but to push forward in search of a result, that could leave them vulnerable, as the Germans are relentless in punishing defensive lapses and exceptionally dangerous when launching counterattacks. Because of all this, we expect the Germans not only to protect their mini-goal edge but also to prove their greatness once again, leaving Gli Azzurri without a real answer and forcing them to come to terms with the undebiable gap in quality between the two teams. Remerkably, Die Mannschaft have shown no mercy to visiting teams in recent times, and the freshest example of their dominance comes from the UEFA Nations League, where they triumphed in all three home qualifiers and produced a phenomenal 13-0 goal difference during that stretch. The last time Italy visited German soil, they endured a panful and bitter experience, as Nagelsmann's warriors handed them a harsh 5-2 trashing, and we expect them to do so in Sunday's showdown as well, setting up a semifinal clash with the winner of the Denmark-Portugal match.

Germany vs Italy Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Italy

    1 : 2

    Germany

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Germany

    5 : 2

    Italy

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Italy

    1 : 1

    Germany

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Italy

    0 : 0

    Germany

    Friendly International

  5. Germany

    1 : 1

    Italy

    European Championship

  6. Germany

    4 : 1

    Italy

    Friendly International

Germany

Germany team news

Tim Kleindienst’s quick equalizer for his national team just three minutes into the second half after coming off the bench could potentially earn him a spot in the starting lineup for Sunday’s second-leg clash.

Unless a change is made at the central striker position, manager Julian Nagelsmann is expected to keep faith in a nearly identical lineup to the one that took the field at San Siro.

Last matches of Germany

  1. Italy

    1 : 2

    Germany

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Hungary

    1 : 1

    Germany

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Germany

    7 : 0

    Bosnia and Herzegovina

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Germany

    1 : 0

    Netherlands

    UEFA Nations League

  5. Bosnia and Herzegovina

    1 : 2

    Germany

    UEFA Nations League

Germany lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Oliver Baumann

Defenders

  • 22

    David Raum

  • 2

    Antonio Rüdiger

  • 4

    Jonathan Tah

  • 6

    Joshua Kimmich

Midfielders

  • 8

    Leon Goretzka

  • 5

    Pascal Groß

  • 10

    Jamal Musiala

  • 19

    Leroy Sané

  • 11

    Nadiem Amiri

Forwards

  • 9

    Tim Kleindienst

Italy

Italy team news

Even after seeing his team lose their lead and go down 1-2 at home, boss Luciano Spalletti has no plans to make any changes to his starting eleven for the second leg.

Arsenal's left-back Riccardo Calafiori will need to undergo some fitness tests after feeling discomfort just before the end of the first-leg tie.

Last matches of Italy

  1. Italy

    1 : 2

    Germany

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Italy

    1 : 3

    France

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Belgium

    0 : 1

    Italy

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Italy

    4 : 1

    Israel

    UEFA Nations League

  5. Italy

    2 : 2

    Belgium

    UEFA Nations League

Italy lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Gianluigi Donnarumma

Defenders

  • 5

    Riccardo Calafiori

  • 21

    Alessandro Bastoni

  • 22

    Giovanni Di Lorenzo

Midfielders

  • 19

    Destiny Udogie

  • 8

    Sandro Tonali

  • 14

    Nicolò Rovella

  • 18

    Nicolò Barella

  • 7

    Matteo Politano

Forwards

  • 10

    Giacomo Raspadori

  • 9

    Moise Kean

3 Reasons why we expect Germany to Win

  1. Germany have won all three of their UNL qualification matches on home soil.
  2. Germany have achieved two of their previous three home victories with a 5+ goal margin.
  3. Germany blew Italy away with a devastating 5-2 scoreline the last time the two sides met.

Main prediction Germany - Italy

Germany to win

Updated

clock
winrate

57% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

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1.86

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Germany vs Italy - FAQ

? Who is Germany's player to watch?

With three goals and four assists, Florian Wirtz is currently the second-best scorer of the tournament, but the Bayer Leverkusen star is unavailable due to injury.

? Who is Italy's player to watch?

Davide Frattesi is Italy's top scorer in the UEFA Nations League with three goals, but he is now expected to get more minutes in the second half after coming on in the last eight minutes at San Siro.