Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction 30.03.2025 | Serie A

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1 - 0

Elapsed: FT

Half time: 1 - 0

Full time: 1 - 0

Kick off:

Date:

Atalanta

Atalanta

1

4.06

X

3.49

2

2.01

match ended

The match has ended, you can view football predictions for today and football predictions for tomorrow.

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Sunday, 30th March, 2025
  • Kickoff: 14:00 UK / 15:00 CET
  • Venue: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence)

In the previous three seasons, Fiorentina finished seventh and twice eighth and are on a pace for a similar finish this year. Viola found themselves in 8th place with 48 points from 29 matches. Still, European spots are only three points away, and even the Champions League isn't far - only four points away. But Viola could secure Europe through the Conference League since they reached the Quarter-Finals after beating Panathinaikos in the previous round and will face off against Celje from Slovenia.

Atalanta's results constantly improved over the years, and the popular La Dea became one of the best Italian teams. This year, they were solid in Serie A, but with the latest loss to Inter (2:0), they dropped to third place and are now six points away from the top spot. The title seems unreal, but securing a top-four finish at this point is a must. Unfortunately, they have massive injury problems, and coach Gasperini will definitely have a challenging task in the upcoming matches.

Fiorentina vs Atalanta pick: Both teams to score

Fiorentina have been much better at home this season. They won 62.5% of their total points at home and rarely failed to score there. In 21 home games, they scored at least a goal on 18 occasions (86%). In recent matches, they have been really good offensively, even scoring three goals against Inter and Juventus! So, scoring at Stadio Artemio Franchi against Atalanta is a real scenario.

With 63 scored goals in 29 Serie A rounds, Atalanta are the second-best offense in the league. Only Inter scored more goals (65). But away from home, Atalanta are the best offensive team, with almost 2.3 goals per game. A big reason for this is their recent road games, as they scored four goals against Juventus and five against Empoli and Verona.

In the previous h2h game, Atalanta won 3:2. Moreover, both teams scored in five of the last six h2h games. Considering the trend in the previous h2h games and all the above, we expect both teams to score in this Serie A tie.

Fiorentina vs Atalanta Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Atalanta

    3 : 2

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  2. Atalanta

    2 : 3

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  3. Atalanta

    4 : 1

    Fiorentina

    Coppa Italia

  4. Fiorentina

    1 : 0

    Atalanta

    Coppa Italia

  5. Fiorentina

    3 : 2

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  6. Fiorentina

    1 : 1

    Atalanta

    Serie A

Fiorentina

Fiorentina team news

In recent days, coach Raffaele Palladino spoke to the media. He was satisfied with two games before the international break and especially praised the team against Juventus, saying they played a perfect match. When asked if the matches against Atalanta and AC Milan could then decide the season, the coach responded:" No, but they are two very important matches. But we have nine crucial games, it's a very balanced championship, and all the points count."

Edoardo Bove and Andrea Colpani, who missed the previous game with injuries, should remain sidelined. 

Last matches of Fiorentina

  1. Fiorentina

    3 : 0

    Juventus

    Serie A

  2. Napoli

    2 : 1

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  3. Panathinaikos

    3 : 2

    Fiorentina

    Europa Conference League

  4. Fiorentina

    1 : 0

    Lecce

    Serie A

  5. Hellas Verona

    1 : 0

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

Fiorentina lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 43

    David de Gea

Defenders

  • 6

    Luca Ranieri

  • 18

    Pablo Mari

  • 5

    Marin Pongracic

Midfielders

  • 21

    Robin Gosens

  • 8

    Rolando Mandragora

  • 32

    Danilo Cataldi

  • 44

    Nicolo Fagioli

  • 2

    Dodo

Forwards

  • 10

    Albert Gudmundsson

  • 20

    Moise Kean

Atalanta

Atalanta team news

In the previous game against Inter, coach Gasperini and midfielder Ederson received red cards and will be sidelined for the Fiorentina game. 

The team will also have several injured players - Juan Cuadrado, Odilon Kossounou, Alberto Manzoni, Stefan Posch, Giorgio Scalvini, Gianluca Scamacca, Ibrahim Sulemana, and Pietro Tornaghi. Moreover, Mateo Retegui is listed as questionable with a thigh injury. 

Last matches of Atalanta

  1. Atalanta

    0 : 2

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  2. Juventus

    0 : 4

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  3. Atalanta

    0 : 0

    Venezia FC

    Serie A

  4. Empoli

    0 : 5

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  5. Atalanta

    1 : 3

    Club Brugge

    Champions League

Atalanta lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 29

    Marco Carnesecchi

Defenders

  • 23

    Sead Kolasinac

  • 4

    Isak Hien

  • 19

    Berat Djimsiti

Midfielders

  • 77

    Davide Zappacosta

  • 15

    Marten de Roon

  • 24

    Lazar Samardžić

  • 8

    Mario Pasalic

  • 16

    Raoul Bellanova

Forwards

  • 11

    Ademola Lookman

  • 17

    Charles De Ketelaere

4 Reasons why both teams should score

  1. Fiorentina scored in 18 out of the 21 home games - 86%
  2. Fiorentina scored six goals in the previous two games against Juventus and Panathinaikos
  3. Atalanta averages 2.3 goals per game away from home in Serie A
  4. Five of the last six h2h games finished with both teams scoring

Main prediction Fiorentina - Atalanta

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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Fiorentina & Atalanta current standing in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter 30 20 7 3 67 - 28 +39 67
2 Napoli 30 19 7 4 47 - 24 +23 64
3 Atalanta 30 17 7 6 63 - 29 +34 58
4 Bologna 30 15 11 4 50 - 34 +16 56
5 Juventus 30 14 13 3 46 - 28 +18 55
6 Roma 30 15 7 8 45 - 30 +15 52
7 Fiorentina 30 15 6 9 47 - 30 +17 51
8 Lazio 29 15 6 8 50 - 41 +9 51
9 Milan 30 13 8 9 45 - 35 +10 47
10 Udinese 30 11 7 12 36 - 41 -5 40
11 Torino 29 9 11 9 34 - 34 0 38
12 Genoa 30 8 11 11 28 - 38 -10 35
13 Como 30 7 9 14 36 - 47 -11 30
14 Cagliari 30 7 8 15 31 - 44 -13 29
15 Hellas Verona 29 9 2 18 29 - 58 -29 29
16 Parma 29 5 10 14 35 - 49 -14 25
17 Lecce 30 6 7 17 21 - 49 -28 25
18 Empoli 30 4 11 15 24 - 47 -23 23
19 Venezia 30 3 11 16 23 - 43 -20 20
20 Monza 30 2 9 19 24 - 52 -28 15

Fiorentina vs Atalanta - FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Fiorentina this season?

The average xG for Fiorentina in the Serie A this season is 1.33.

? How much is the average xG for Atalanta this season?

The average xG for Atalanta in the Serie A this season is 1.73.