Esperance Tunis vs Al Ahly SC Prediction 18.05.2024
ES Tunis
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Full time: 0 - 0
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Al Ahly SC

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Contents
- Competition: CAF Champions League - final 1st leg
- Date: Saturday, 18th, May 2024
- Kickoff: 20:00 UTC +1 / 21.00 CEST
- Venue: Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi (Rades)
The first of two legs in the final of the CAF Champions League will take place at Stade Hammadi Agrebi, with Esperance de Tunis hoping to get a favorable result against the record-breaking champions Al Ahly.
Esperance Tunis vs Al Ahly SC Betting Tips: UNDER 2.5
Ending a dry spell of three matches without a win, which included a painful elimination from the fourth round of the Tunisian Cup against second-tier side OC Kerkennah, was done in dramatic fashion as Miguel Cardosco's troops defeated Etoile Sahel in a five-goal thriller to come within touching distance of winning a record 33rd Ligue Professionnelle 1 crown.
As they edge closer to sealing the deal for the top-flight title, holding a comfortable five-point lead over nearest challenger Monastir with three rounds to go, Esperance de Tunis can now fully focus their efforts on Africa's most prestigious club competition, where they are desperate to end their five-year wait for lifting the CAF Champions League trophy.
En route to their eight appearance in the final, emerging as three-time winners of the tournament, the Blood and Gold have demonstrated incredible tenacity at the back, as their defense has been breached only once, which occured back in the group stage against Sudanese side Al Hilal Omdurman in a 1-3 away loss, while the other 11 continental outings have seen them remain unbeaten on goal.
Basking in the luxury of performing before their devoted fans in the opening leg of the final, Esperance de Tunis will harbor optimism regarding their prospects of clinching a favorable outcome, given that no visiting side has departed the Hammadi Agrebi Stadium with maximum spoils, with the Smiling One's backline remaining unbreached in all six of their CAF home fixtures - just four goals being produced in the process.
However, the Tunisian giant will be acutely aware of the magnitude of their opponent in the final, as they face none other than the record-winning tournament champions Al Ahly, boasting an staggering 13 CAF Champions League trophies, three of which came in the last four seasons, including last term when they defeated Wydad Casablanca 3-2 on aggregate.
As they open a fifth straight final of Africa's top club competition, the Red Devils from Cairo are bursting with confidence, having won five matches on the spin across all competitions, a winning run that included a 3-0 demolition of DR Congo's TP Mazembe in the semifinal showdown, maintaining an unblemished record in the tournament this edition (W8, D4).
Emulating the defensive excellence of their rivals in the final, the Egyptian behemoths have excelled at the back all tournament long, with the 1-1 stalemate against Young Africans in Group D's matchday two being the sole occasion Marcel Koller's squad did not maintain a shutout in 12 continental appearances, with eight of those games producing fewer than 2.5 goals.
Given that this is a high-stakes clash between two nearly impenetrable defenses, we anticipate a low-key affair where a goalless draw might even be on the cards, as neither team will want to take too many risks while searching for a breakthrough, yet Al Ahly SC, boasting a significantly richer pedigree, might just find a way to edge out a win by the narrowest of margins.
ES Tunis vs Al Ahly SC Head to Head (H2H) stats
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Al Ahly SC
1 : 0
ES Tunis
CAF Champions League
-
ES Tunis
0 : 3
Al Ahly SC
CAF Champions League
-
Al Ahly SC
3 : 0
ES Tunis
CAF Champions League
-
ES Tunis
0 : 1
Al Ahly SC
CAF Champions League
-
ES Tunis
3 : 0
Al Ahly SC
CAF Champions League
-
Al Ahly SC
3 : 1
ES Tunis
CAF Champions League
Esperance Tunis team news
Raed Bouchniba made an immediate impact after coming off the bench in the semi-final second leg against Mamelodi Sundowns to send his side into the CAF Champions League final, and the 20-year-old full-back will be hoping for a positive in the starting XI.
With no worries about injuries and suspensions, ES Tunisia boss Miguel Cardoso will be able to field his strongest line-up against record champions Al Ahly SC.
Last matches of ES Tunis
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ES Tunis
3 : 2
Etoile du Sahel
Ligue 1
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Kerkennah
1 : 1
ES Tunis
Tunisia Cup
-
ES Tunis
1 : 1
Sfaxien
Ligue 1
-
Mamelodi Sundowns
0 : 1
ES Tunis
CAF Champions League
-
ES Tunis
1 : 0
Mamelodi Sundowns
CAF Champions League
ES Tunis lineup
Goalkeeper
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1
Amanallah Memmiche
Defenders
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20
Mohamed Amine Ben Hamida
-
15
Mohamed Amine Tougai
-
5
Yassine Meriah
-
2
Mohamed Ben Ali
Midfielders
-
18
Houssam Ghacha
-
25
Ghaylen Chaalali
-
38
Roger Aholou
-
10
Yan Sasse
Forwards
-
8
Houssem Tka
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9
Rodrigo Rodrigues
Al Ahly SC team news
Experienced full-back Omar Kamal is ineligible for this year's CAF Champions League edition, having arrived from Modern Future as a winter signing, with Mohamed Hany expected to fill his place.
Nursing a shoulder injury, first-choice goalkeeper Mohamed El Shenawy is very likely to miss both legs of the final, while Ahmed Abdelkader's participation is doubtful, having been left out of the squad for the last three matches.
Last matches of Al Ahly SC
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Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
1 : 2
Al Ahly SC
Premier League
-
Al Ahly SC
4 : 1
Al Ittihad Alexandria
Premier League
-
Al Ahly SC
3 : 0
El Gounah
Premier League
-
Ismaily
1 : 2
Al Ahly SC
Premier League
-
Al Ahly SC
3 : 0
TP Mazembe
CAF Champions League
Al Ahly SC lineup
Goalkeeper
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31
Oufa Shobeir
Defenders
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21
Ali Maaloul
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24
Mohamed Abdelmonem
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5
Rami Rabia
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30
Mohamed Hany
Midfielders
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8
Akram Tawfik
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36
Ahmed Kouka
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14
Hussein El Shahat
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17
Amr El Solia
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10
Percy Tau
Forwards
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39
Wessam Abou Ali
4 Reasons why we expect Under 2.5
- Esperance Tunis have seen under 2.5 goals in 11 of their 12 CAF matches this season.
- Esperance Tunis have kept a clean sheet in eight consecutive continental outings.
- Al Ahly SC are on a streak of eight consecutive shutouts on the continental stage.
- Seven of Al Ahly's eight CAF matches have produced fewer than two goals.
Main prediction ES Tunis - Al Ahly SC
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
Additional predictions
Team 2 to Win
Best odds:3.10
BTTS - NO
Best odds:1.63
Under 1.5 goals 1st half
Best odds:1.21