Derby vs Oxford United prediction 11.02.2025 | Championship
Derby County
Kick off:
Date:
Oxford United
1
2.06
X
3.32
2
3.76
Contents
- Competition: Championship
- Date: Tuesday, 11th February 2025
- Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
- Venue: Pride Park (Derby)
After two years in League One, Derby returned to the Championship, but it seems there is a big possibility they could move to the lower level again. After 31 rounds, Derby collected only 28 points, so they are one point behind safety. The club from Pride Park was in terrible form, with eight defeats in a row, until they, in the last match, played 1-1 on the road against Norwich. That was the best Derby game in a while, and maybe that performance will restore some confidence at the Pride Park.
Oxford United played in League One last season, too, but Gary Rowett's team has a much bigger chance of survival in the second level of English football, given that they are solid nine points above the drop zone. Oxford United were in a surprising five games without a defeat run until Saturday, when they lost 1-0 on the road against Burnley. The home side finished with an xG of 1.52, while the guests had only 0.26, so Oxford United deservedly stayed empty-handed.
Derby vs Oxford United pick: Under 2.5 goals
Both teams are poor in the attack. Derby scored three goals in the last seven matches, while Oxford United scored six goals in the previous six games. We shouldn't expect more than two goals on Tuesday at Pride Park.
Derby County vs Oxford United Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Oxford United
1 : 1
Derby County
Championship
-
Oxford United
2 : 3
Derby County
League One
-
Derby County
1 : 2
Oxford United
League One
-
Oxford United
2 : 3
Derby County
League One
-
Derby County
1 : 0
Oxford United
League One
Derby team news
A draw against Norwich was the first for Matt Hamshaw as Derby's caretaker manager. In the interview after the game, the head coach was proud of snatching a point. We should expect Hamshaw to lead Derby against Oxford United, too.
Derby have problems with missing players. Curtis Nelson, Kane Wilson, Dajaune Brown, and Callum Elder are injured and will not play in the upcoming tie, while Corey Blackett-Taylor is questionable.
Last matches of Derby County
-
Norwich City
1 : 1
Derby County
Championship
-
Derby County
0 : 1
Sheffield United
Championship
-
Cardiff City
2 : 1
Derby County
Championship
-
Derby County
0 : 1
Sunderland
Championship
-
Derby County
0 : 2
Watford
Championship
Derby County lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Widell Zettestrom
Defenders
-
6
Sondre Langas
-
12
Nathaniel Phillips
-
25
Matt Clarke
-
16
Liam Thompson
Midfielders
-
8
Ben Osborn
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn
-
4
David Ozoh
-
32
Ebou Adams
Forwards
-
11
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing
-
15
Lars Salvesen
Oxford United team news
Oxford United have some problems with injuries, too. They will be without Elliott Moore, Benjamin Nelson, and Max Woltman at Pride Park. The head coach, Gary Rowett, surprisingly rotated part of the squad for the previous, but we should see the best possible eleven on Tuesday at Pride Park.
Last matches of Oxford United
-
Burnley
1 : 0
Oxford United
Championship
-
Oxford United
1 : 1
Bristol City
Championship
-
Stoke City
0 : 0
Oxford United
Championship
-
Oxford United
3 : 2
Luton Town F.C.
Championship
-
Oxford United
1 : 0
Blackburn Rovers
Championship
Oxford United lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Jamie Cumming
Defenders
-
30
Petr Kioso
-
47
Michal Helik
-
3
Ciaron Brown
-
22
Greg Leigh
Midfielders
-
4
Will Vaulks
-
20
Ruben Rodrigues
-
8
Cameron Brannagan
Forwards
-
7
Przemyslaw Placheta
-
9
Mark Harris
-
23
Siriki Dembele
5 Reasons why we shouldn't see more than two goals in this match
- Derby scored only three goals in the last seven matches
- There were two or fewer goals in six of the previous seven Derby games
- Oxford United scored only six goals in the last six matches
- There were two or fewer goals in five of the previous six Oxford United games
- Derby and Oxford United played 1-1 in the last h2h match
Main prediction Derby County - Oxford United
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
bet365
1.61
Additional predictions
Derby County & Oxford United current standing in Championship
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leeds United | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 62 - 19 | +43 | 66 |
| 2 | Sheffield United | 31 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 43 - 22 | +21 | 64 |
| 3 | Burnley | 31 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 37 - 9 | +28 | 61 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 31 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 47 - 28 | +19 | 59 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion | 31 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 41 - 28 | +13 | 47 |
| 6 | Blackburn Rovers | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 35 - 31 | +4 | 45 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 49 - 39 | +10 | 44 |
| 8 | Norwich City | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 50 - 43 | +7 | 43 |
| 9 | Bristol City | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 38 - 36 | +2 | 42 |
| 10 | Watford | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 42 - 44 | -2 | 42 |
| 11 | Sheffield Wednesday | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 44 - 48 | -4 | 42 |
| 12 | Coventry City | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41 - 40 | +1 | 41 |
| 13 | Queens Park Rangers | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 35 - 40 | -5 | 41 |
| 14 | Millwall | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 - 27 | +3 | 40 |
| 15 | Preston North End | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 33 - 38 | -5 | 37 |
| 16 | Swansea City | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 33 - 42 | -9 | 37 |
| 17 | Oxford United | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 34 - 45 | -11 | 37 |
| 18 | Stoke City | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 28 - 37 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Cardiff City | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 33 - 51 | -18 | 31 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 37 - 54 | -17 | 30 |
| 21 | Hull City | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 31 - 40 | -9 | 29 |
| 22 | Derby County | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 33 - 42 | -9 | 28 |
| 23 | Luton Town | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 30 - 49 | -19 | 27 |
| 24 | Plymouth Argyle | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 - 63 | -34 | 25 |