Corinthians vs Fluminense prediction 17.04.2025 | Brazil Serie A

Kick off:

Date:

1

2.10

X

3.25

2

3.80

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Wednesday, 16th April 2025
  • Kickoff: 23:30 UK / 00:30 CEST
  • Venue: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)

Corinthians had the best possible start to 2025 with the title in Campeonato Paulista, one of the Brazilian state leagues. Since then, the team from Neo Quimica Arena in Sao Paulo have won only one of five matches in all competitions. Last weekend, Corinthians lost 2-0 on the road against Palmeiras. The guests had ball possession but created xG of only 0.27 and stayed empty-handed. After three Serie A rounds, Corinthians have only xG of 1.13 on average, which could become a big problem for the rest of the season. 

Fluminense started 2025 with a loss in Campeonato Carioca. However, they are currently in good form. After a defeat in the Serie A first round, Fluminense won the next four matches in all competitions, including last weekend's victory at home against Santos. In the mostly even game, the home side was lucky enough to secure all three points deep in the second half's stoppage time. A victory like that will surely boost Fluminense's confidence ahead of a trip to Neo Quimica Arena. 

Corinthians vs Fluminense pick: Under 2.5 goals

Corinthians scored only six goals in the last six matches. On the other hand, Fluminense allowed only one goal in the previous four games. We shouldn't expect more than two goals in the upcoming tie between these two teams. 

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Fluminense

    0 : 0

    Corinthians

    Serie A

  2. Corinthians

    3 : 0

    Fluminense

    Serie A

  3. Fluminense

    3 : 3

    Corinthians

    Serie A

  4. Corinthians

    2 : 0

    Fluminense

    Serie A

  5. Corinthians

    0 : 2

    Fluminense

    Serie A

  6. Corinthians

    3 : 0

    Fluminense

    Copa do Brasil

Corinthians team news

Corinthians have some injury problems ahead of the game against Fluminense. Fabricio Angileri, Rodrigo Garro, and Hugo Souza are unavailable for the upcoming Serie A tie. 

Last matches of

  1. América de Cali

    1 : 1

    Corinthians

    Copa Sudamericana

  2. Corinthians

    0 : 0

    Palmeiras

    Paulista A1

  3. Corinthians

    2 : 0

    Barcelona Guayaquil

    Copa Libertadores

  4. Corinthians

    2 : 1

    Santos FC

    Paulista A1

  5. Barcelona Guayaquil

    3 : 0

    Corinthians

    Copa Libertadores

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 32

    Matheus Donelli

Defenders

  • 2

    Matheuzinho

  • 5

    Andre Ramalho

  • 25

    Caca

  • 21

    Matheus Bidu

Midfielders

  • 14

    Raniele

  • 70

    Jose Martinez

  • 27

    Breno Bidon

  • 19

    Andre Carrillo

Forwards

  • 10

    Memphis Depay

  • 9

    Yuri Alberto

Fluminense team news

Fluminense have even more problems with the squad than Corinthians. They will be without Gabriel Fuentes, Isaque Silva, Otavio, Renato Augusto, and Riquelme Felipe, who are injured and will not play at Neo Quimica Arena against Corinthians. Also, Guga is questionable, and his status will be clearer closer to the kickoff as there are some chances for him to recover on time. 

Last matches of

  1. Fluminense

    5 : 0

    Gualberto Villarroel SJ

    Copa Sudamericana

  2. Fluminense

    2 : 1

    Red Bull Bragantino

    Serie A

  3. Once Caldas

    0 : 1

    Fluminense

    Copa Sudamericana

  4. Flamengo

    0 : 0

    Fluminense

    Carioca Serie A

  5. Fluminense

    1 : 2

    Flamengo

    Carioca Serie A

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Fabio

Defenders

  • 2

    Samuel Xavier

  • 3

    Thiago Silva

  • 22

    Juan Pablo Freytes

  • 6

    Rene

Midfielders

  • 8

    Martinelli

  • 35

    Hercules

  • 45

    Lima

Forwards

  • 21

    Jhon Arias

  • 14

    German Cano

  • 17

    Agustin Canobbio

4 Reasons why we shouldn't see more than two goals in this match

  1. Corinthians scored six goals in the last six matches
  2. There were two or fewer goals in six of the previous eight Corinthians games
  3. Fluminense allowed only one goal in the last four matches
  4. There were two or fewer goals in four of the previous six Fluminense games

Main prediction -

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

22Bet

1.59

Bet here

& current standing in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Flamengo 3 2 1 0 5 - 2 +3 7
2 Palmeiras 3 2 1 0 4 - 1 +3 7
3 Juventude 3 2 0 1 4 - 3 +1 6
4 Vasco da Gama 3 2 0 1 5 - 5 0 6
5 Fluminense 3 2 0 1 3 - 3 0 6
6 Internacional 3 1 2 0 4 - 1 +3 5
7 Fortaleza 3 1 2 0 3 - 1 +2 5
8 Ceará 3 1 1 1 5 - 4 +1 4
9 Corinthians 3 1 1 1 4 - 3 +1 4
10 Botafogo 3 1 1 1 2 - 1 +1 4
11 Bragantino 3 1 1 1 4 - 4 0 4
12 Cruzeiro 3 1 1 1 3 - 5 -2 4
13 Grêmio 3 1 0 2 2 - 5 -3 3
14 Bahia 3 0 3 0 4 - 4 0 3
15 São Paulo 3 0 3 0 1 - 1 0 3
16 Mirassol 3 0 2 1 3 - 4 -1 2
17 Atlético Mineiro 3 0 2 1 3 - 4 -1 2
18 Santos 3 0 1 2 3 - 5 -2 1
19 Vitória 3 0 1 2 3 - 6 -3 1
20 Sport Recife 3 0 1 2 2 - 5 -3 1

Corinthians vs Fluminense - FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Claro TV+ channel.

? How much is the average xG for Corinthians this season?

The average xG for Corinthians in Serie A this season is 1.13.

? How much is the average xG for Fluminense this season?

The average xG for Fluminense in Serie A this season is 1.63.