Chelsea vs Brighton prediction 27.09.2023

Chelsea

Chelsea

1 - 0

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Half time: 0 - 0

Full time: 1 - 0

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Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton & Hove Albion

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  • Competition: Carabao Cup, 1/16 Finals
  • Date: Wednesday, 27th September 2023
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge (London)

After being pretty much constantly in the top four teams in England, Chelsea had a disastrous last season. The Blues finished 12th, not even remotely close to European spots. In fact, they were much closer to the relegation zone (ten points away) than to Europe (17). This Summer, they brought Mauricio Pochettino and made some huge transfers in order to shift the negative momentum, but for now, that didn't work. After six rounds in the Premier League, The Blues are 14th with five points, and they did not have too difficult a schedule. 

Brighton are clearly on the rise. Last season, The Seagulls had their best season in the club's history, finishing 6th and securing the Europa League. They did sell some key players from the last season during the transfer window, but it seems they spent the money on the right additions, and at this moment, they look even better. Currently, they are 3rd in the Premier League, with 15 points in six rounds, just behind Manchester City and Liverpool. 

Chelsea vs Brighton pick: Brighton to (AH 0) win

Chelsea are in terrible momentum, winning only one point in the last three games vs Nottingham, Bournemouth, and Aston Villa. Additionally, The Blues failed to score in all of those three games. This season, Chelsea won just twice in seven games. But those games were against a League Two team (AFC Wimbledon) in the previous round of the Carabao Cup and against Luton Town, which might be one of the two or three weakest teams in the Premier League.

On the other hand, Brighton won five of seven games in all competitions, with some notable wins against Manchester United and Newcastle. Even in those matches where they lost (vs AEK in the Europa League and West Ham), the Seagulls looked great and deserved more.

In the previous season, these teams played two h2h games, with Brighton winning 2:1 and 4:1. Also, Chelsea haven't won against Brighton in the previous five h2h (official) games. The last time the Blues won was back in September 2020 - over three years. 

Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Chelsea

    4 : 3

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League Summer Series

  2. Chelsea

    1 : 2

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

  3. Brighton & Hove Albion

    4 : 1

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  4. Brighton & Hove Albion

    1 : 1

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  5. Chelsea

    1 : 1

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

Chelsea

Chelsea team news

A starting right full-back, Malo Gusto, received a red card in the previous game vs Aston Villa and will miss the upcoming Carabao game since the red card carries over across competition in England. 

Chelsea are having big problems with injuries at the moment. Christopher Nkunku, Carney Chukwuemeka, Romeo Lavia, Reece James, Trevoh Chalobah, and Wesley Fofana are all injured and will miss the game. At the same time, Noni Madueke, Benoit Badiashile, and Marcus Bettinelli are questionable. 

With the latest loss vs Aston Villa, Chelsea had the worst start in the Premier League in 45 years. After the loss, coach Mauricio Pochettino spoke to the media. He said the players are young, and he expects them to grow as the season progresses, but he acknowledges the fans and board's disappointment. When asked about the lack of goals, he said: "We need to keep going and working. I cannot find another solution. We will start again tomorrow to build the confidence and trust and hope we can score on Wednesday."

Last matches of Chelsea

  1. Chelsea

    0 : 1

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

  2. AFC Bournemouth

    0 : 0

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  3. Chelsea

    0 : 1

    Nottingham Forest

    Premier League

  4. Chelsea

    2 : 1

    AFC Wimbledon

    Carabao Cup

  5. Chelsea

    3 : 0

    Luton Town F.C.

    Premier League

Chelsea lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Robert Sánchez

Defenders

  • 3

    Marc Cucurella

  • 2

    Axel Disasi

  • 26

    Levi Colwill

  • 21

    Ben Chilwell

Midfielders

  • 16

    Lesley Ugochukwu

  • 25

    Moisés Caicedo

  • 29

    Ian Maatsen

  • 20

    Cole Palmer

  • 10

    Mykhaylo Mudryk

Forwards

  • 15

    Nicolas Jackson

Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton team news

The team will miss Julio Enscio and Jakub Moder for the upcoming game, while James Milner and Pascal Gross are questionable. 

Since Brighton plays in the Europa League, too, we expect them to rotate the squad, but we think they have very good players on the bench. 

After a 3:1 win over Bournemouth, coach Roberto de Zerbi was critical of his team. He said they played one of the worst games since his arrival and were lucky in three or four situations. He said they are not used to playing three games a week, and maybe the somewhat worse performance was because he changed too many players. 

Last matches of Brighton & Hove Albion

  1. Brighton & Hove Albion

    3 : 1

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

  2. Brighton & Hove Albion

    2 : 3

    AEK Athens

    Europa League

  3. Manchester United

    1 : 3

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

  4. Brighton & Hove Albion

    3 : 1

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  5. Brighton & Hove Albion

    1 : 3

    West Ham United

    Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Bart Verbruggen

Defenders

  • 2

    Tariq Lamptey

  • 29

    Jan Paul van Hecke

  • 3

    Igor Júlio

  • 30

    Pervis Estupiñán

Midfielders

  • 8

    Mahmoud Dahoud

  • 20

    Carlos Baleba

  • 40

    Facundo Buonanotte

  • 31

    Ansu Fati

  • 22

    Kaoru Mitoma

Forwards

  • 9

    João Pedro

5 Reasons why Brighton should (AH 0) win

  1. Chelsea won twice in seven games this season
  2. Chelsea failed to score in the previous three games
  3. Brighton won five of seven games this season
  4. Brighton scored three or more goals in all five wins this season
  5. Brighton won the previous two h2h (official) games

Main prediction Chelsea - Brighton & Hove Albion

AH2 (0)

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Chelsea vs Brighton - FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Viaplay channel.

? How much is the average xG for Chelsea this season in the Premier League?

The average xG for Chelsea is 1.63. 

? How much is the average xG for Brighton this season in the Premier League?

The average xG for Brighton is 2.18.