Belgium vs Ukraine prediction 23.03.2025 | Nations League

• Competition: UEFA Nations League
• Date: Sunday, 23rd March 2025
• Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
• Venue: Cegeka Arena (Genk)

Sunday will be another crossroad for the Belgian and Ukrainian national football teams as that game will seal their Nations League fate. In the first leg of the relegation/promotion playoff, Ukraine shockingly won 3-1 at a neutral field in Murcia. Sergiy Rebrov's team surprisingly dominated, finishing the game with an xG of 2.82, while Belgium had only 0.59. 

Belgium are not even close to a world-class team anymore. They struggled mightily in the previous Nations League with only four points from six matches. They closed the competition with three straight defeats, and although some thought that the appointment of the new head coach, Rudi Garcia, would improve things, the first leg against Ukraine showed they were too far from the top team. 

Ukraine are a solid side. In the previous Nations League, Rebrov's team finished three points behind the Czech Republic but still enough to finish second in the group and secure a chance through the promotion playoff. Ukraine are without a defeat in the last five matches and will go to the rematch against Belgium with a lot of confidence. 

Belgium vs Ukraine pick: Over 2.5 goals

The reasoning for this bet is pretty simple. Belgium needs to score two goals to get even with Ukraine. The problem is that the Belgian defense is not even near to being good enough, so we could expect them to concede at least once. We should expect at least three goals on Sunday night in Genk.