Bastia vs Ajaccio prediction 10.01.2025 | Ligue 2

• Competition: Ligue 2
• Date: Friday, 10th January, 2025
• Kickoff: 19:00 UK / 20:00 CET
• Venue: Stade Armand Cesari (Bastia)

Since arriving at Ligue 2 in 2021/22, Bastia were mostly a mid-table team without a real chance of securing promotion. The closest they have been was in the 2022/23 season when they finished 4th but were still 12 points away from promotion. This season, they are once a mid-table team and are currently in 10th place with 22 points from 17 matches. Now, they are seven points away from the danger zone and eight away from the Playoffs.

Ajaccio spent the 2022/23 season in the French top-flight division but were nowhere near securing a return last season, finishing 15th - fairly close to the danger zone. This year, they are once again among the relegation candidates in Ligue 2. In 17 rounds, they only won 15 points and are five points away from the safe zone. Even though they are not far away from it, their recent performances are a massive reason for concern, as they won just one point in the last six games.

Bastia vs Ajaccio pick: Bastia to win

Bastia ended their eight-game unbeaten run with a 3:2 loss against Grenoble. But that was on the road in a very competitive game, which could easily go either way. Also, at home, Bastia are undefeated in ten games with a 60% win rate.

Meanwhile, Ajaccio lost three in a row vs Annecy, Pau FC, and Paris FC. Yes, those teams are really good, but it is still a terrible record. Moreover, Ajaccio won just one point in the last six matches and have scored two goals - 0.33 per game! Away from home, they have been absolutely terrible, winning just one point in nine games.

In the previous h2h games, Bastia were a lot better, winning four out of the last six matches. Considering the previous h2h games and all the above, we believe Bastia are much closer to winning the upcoming game.