Atalanta vs Lecce prediction 25.04.2025 | Serie A

Atalanta

Atalanta

Kick off:

Date:

Lecce

Lecce

1

1.26

X

6.69

2

13.30

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: 25th April 2025
  • Kick-off: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Gewiss Stadium

Two Italian top flight sides battling it out at opposite ends of the table meet on Friday evening as Atalanta host Lecce.

Atalanta are in search of three points that could cement their place in the top four, while Lecce are hanging on by a thread as defeat could see them drop into the bottom three.

March wasn't a month to remember for the hosts as they won just one of their four league games, while failing to score on three occasions. The Nerazzurri have responded with back-to-back wins, including a massive victory over Milan last weekend at San Siro where they kept a second clean sheet in a row.

Lecce, meanwhile, are winless in their last ten Serie A games. The visitors hosted Como last weekend in a game that many expected them to take at least a point from, but they disappointed once again, conceding three goals without responding. Giampaolo's men have now lost seven of their last eight league matches and another defeat this week could see them drop into the relegation zone.

Atalanta vs Lecce Betting Tips: Under 3.5 goals

Despite Atalanta's attacking talents, they have struggled to find the net in recent weeks, scoring no more than one goal in five of their last seven league games. Only one of those matches produced more than two goals.

Lecce are also struggling in attack, with Giampaolo's men failing to score in six of their last ten top-flight matches. Nine of those games ended with no more than three goals scored, and I expect a similar result on Friday.

  • Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals
  • Atalanta vs Lecce prediction: 2-0

Atalanta vs Lecce Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Lecce

    0 : 4

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  2. Lecce

    0 : 2

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  3. Atalanta

    1 : 0

    Lecce

    Serie A

  4. Atalanta

    1 : 2

    Lecce

    Serie A

  5. Lecce

    2 : 1

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  6. Lecce

    2 : 7

    Atalanta

    Serie A

Atalanta

Atalanta team news

Having come on as a substitute after returning from injury against Milan last weekend, Charles De Ketelaere will be hoping to start this week, but head coach Gasperini is unlikely to make any changes to his winning side.

Giorgio Scalvini, Gianluca Scamacca, Stefan Posch, Marco Palestra and Sead Kolasinac are all out for Friday's game due to injury.

Last matches of Atalanta

  1. AC Milan

    0 : 1

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  2. Atalanta

    2 : 0

    Bologna

    Serie A

  3. Atalanta

    0 : 1

    Lazio

    Serie A

  4. Fiorentina

    1 : 0

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  5. Atalanta

    0 : 2

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

Atalanta lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 29

    Marco Carnesecchi

Defenders

  • 19

    Berat Djimsiti

  • 4

    Isak Hien

  • 16

    Raoul Bellanova

Midfielders

  • 77

    Davide Zappacosta

  • 13

    Éderson

  • 15

    Marten de Roon

  • 7

    Juan Cuadrado

Forwards

  • 11

    Ademola Lookman

  • 32

    Mateo Retegui

  • 8

    Mario Pašalić

Lecce

Lecce team news

Filip Marchwinski and Gaby Jean are out until August and October respectively with cruciate ligament injuries, while Joan Gonzalez is struggling with heart problems.

Given the result and scoreline against Como on Saturday afternoon, head coach Marco Giampaolo is expected to make major changes to his XI. Balthazar Pierret and Medon Berisha are among those hoping to benefit from this reshuffle.

Last matches of Lecce

  1. Lecce

    0 : 3

    Como

    Serie A

  2. Juventus

    2 : 1

    Lecce

    Serie A

  3. Lecce

    1 : 1

    Venezia FC

    Serie A

  4. Lecce

    0 : 1

    AS Roma

    Serie A

  5. Lecce

    2 : 3

    AC Milan

    Serie A

Lecce lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 30

    Wladimiro Falcone

Defenders

  • 17

    Danilo Veiga

  • 4

    Kialonda Gaspar

  • 6

    Federico Baschirotto

  • 25

    Antonino Gallo

Midfielders

  • 5

    Medon Berisha

  • 75

    Balthazar Pierret

  • 14

    Þórir Jóhann Helgason

Forwards

  • 50

    Santiago Pierotti

  • 9

    Nikola Krstović

  • 7

    Tete Morente

Three reasons we expect under 3.5 goals in this game

  1. Only one of the last five meetings between Atalanta and Lecce produced more than three goals.
  2. Bets on under 3.5 goals won in each of the last four games of Lecce.
  3. None of the last six home games of Atalanta produced more than two goals.

Main prediction Atalanta - Lecce

Under 3.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

58% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

Strategic Betting Analyst: Expert in Developing and Implementing Data-Driven, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies.

Best Odds:

22Bet

1.5

Bet here

Atalanta & Lecce current standing in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter 33 21 8 4 72 - 32 +40 71
2 Napoli 33 21 8 4 52 - 25 +27 71
3 Atalanta 33 19 7 7 66 - 30 +36 64
4 Bologna 33 16 12 5 52 - 37 +15 60
5 Juventus 33 15 14 4 49 - 31 +18 59
6 Lazio 33 17 8 8 55 - 43 +12 59
7 Roma 33 16 9 8 48 - 32 +16 57
8 Fiorentina 33 16 8 9 51 - 33 +18 56
9 Milan 33 14 9 10 51 - 38 +13 51
10 Torino 33 10 13 10 38 - 37 +1 43
11 Udinese 33 11 7 15 36 - 48 -12 40
12 Como 33 10 9 14 43 - 48 -5 39
13 Genoa 33 9 12 12 29 - 40 -11 39
14 Hellas Verona 33 9 5 19 30 - 60 -30 32
15 Parma 33 6 13 14 38 - 51 -13 31
16 Cagliari 33 7 9 17 33 - 49 -16 30
17 Lecce 33 6 8 19 23 - 55 -32 26
18 Venezia 33 4 13 16 27 - 46 -19 25
19 Empoli 33 4 13 16 26 - 52 -26 25
20 Monza 33 2 9 22 25 - 57 -32 15

Atalanta vs Lecce - FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Friday’s Serie A encounter between Atalanta and Lecce on Sofascore.

? What’s the average number of corner kicks Atalanta win in their league home games this season?

5.13

? What’s the average number of yellow cards Lecce receive in their Serie A away encounters this season?

2.00