Contents
- Competition: Serie A
- Date: 25th April 2025
- Kick-off: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
- Venue: Gewiss Stadium
Two Italian top flight sides battling it out at opposite ends of the table meet on Friday evening as Atalanta host Lecce.
Atalanta are in search of three points that could cement their place in the top four, while Lecce are hanging on by a thread as defeat could see them drop into the bottom three.
March wasn't a month to remember for the hosts as they won just one of their four league games, while failing to score on three occasions. The Nerazzurri have responded with back-to-back wins, including a massive victory over Milan last weekend at San Siro where they kept a second clean sheet in a row.
Lecce, meanwhile, are winless in their last ten Serie A games. The visitors hosted Como last weekend in a game that many expected them to take at least a point from, but they disappointed once again, conceding three goals without responding. Giampaolo's men have now lost seven of their last eight league matches and another defeat this week could see them drop into the relegation zone.
Atalanta vs Lecce Betting Tips: Under 3.5 goals
Despite Atalanta's attacking talents, they have struggled to find the net in recent weeks, scoring no more than one goal in five of their last seven league games. Only one of those matches produced more than two goals.
Lecce are also struggling in attack, with Giampaolo's men failing to score in six of their last ten top-flight matches. Nine of those games ended with no more than three goals scored, and I expect a similar result on Friday.
- Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals
- Atalanta vs Lecce prediction: 2-0
Atalanta vs Lecce Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Lecce
0 : 4
Atalanta
Serie A
-
Lecce
0 : 2
Atalanta
Serie A
-
Atalanta
1 : 0
Lecce
Serie A
-
Atalanta
1 : 2
Lecce
Serie A
-
Lecce
2 : 1
Atalanta
Serie A
-
Lecce
2 : 7
Atalanta
Serie A
Atalanta team news
Having come on as a substitute after returning from injury against Milan last weekend, Charles De Ketelaere will be hoping to start this week, but head coach Gasperini is unlikely to make any changes to his winning side.
Giorgio Scalvini, Gianluca Scamacca, Stefan Posch, Marco Palestra and Sead Kolasinac are all out for Friday's game due to injury.
Last matches of Atalanta
-
AC Milan
0 : 1
Atalanta
Serie A
-
Atalanta
2 : 0
Bologna
Serie A
-
Atalanta
0 : 1
Lazio
Serie A
-
Fiorentina
1 : 0
Atalanta
Serie A
-
Atalanta
0 : 2
Inter Milan
Serie A
Atalanta lineup
Goalkeeper
-
29
Marco Carnesecchi
Defenders
-
19
Berat Djimsiti
-
4
Isak Hien
-
16
Raoul Bellanova
Midfielders
-
77
Davide Zappacosta
-
13
Éderson
-
15
Marten de Roon
-
7
Juan Cuadrado
Forwards
-
11
Ademola Lookman
-
32
Mateo Retegui
-
8
Mario Pašalić
Lecce team news
Filip Marchwinski and Gaby Jean are out until August and October respectively with cruciate ligament injuries, while Joan Gonzalez is struggling with heart problems.
Given the result and scoreline against Como on Saturday afternoon, head coach Marco Giampaolo is expected to make major changes to his XI. Balthazar Pierret and Medon Berisha are among those hoping to benefit from this reshuffle.
Last matches of Lecce
-
Lecce
0 : 3
Como
Serie A
-
Juventus
2 : 1
Lecce
Serie A
-
Lecce
1 : 1
Venezia FC
Serie A
-
Lecce
0 : 1
AS Roma
Serie A
-
Lecce
2 : 3
AC Milan
Serie A
Lecce lineup
Goalkeeper
-
30
Wladimiro Falcone
Defenders
-
17
Danilo Veiga
-
4
Kialonda Gaspar
-
6
Federico Baschirotto
-
25
Antonino Gallo
Midfielders
-
5
Medon Berisha
-
75
Balthazar Pierret
-
14
Þórir Jóhann Helgason
Forwards
-
50
Santiago Pierotti
-
9
Nikola Krstović
-
7
Tete Morente
Three reasons we expect under 3.5 goals in this game
- Only one of the last five meetings between Atalanta and Lecce produced more than three goals.
- Bets on under 3.5 goals won in each of the last four games of Lecce.
- None of the last six home games of Atalanta produced more than two goals.
Main prediction Atalanta - Lecce
Under 3.5 goals
Best Odds:
Additional predictions
Atalanta & Lecce current standing in Serie A
Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Inter | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 72 - 32 | +40 | 71 |
2 | Napoli | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 52 - 25 | +27 | 71 |
3 | Atalanta | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 66 - 30 | +36 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 52 - 37 | +15 | 60 |
5 | Juventus | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 49 - 31 | +18 | 59 |
6 | Lazio | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 55 - 43 | +12 | 59 |
7 | Roma | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 48 - 32 | +16 | 57 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 51 - 33 | +18 | 56 |
9 | Milan | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 51 - 38 | +13 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 38 - 37 | +1 | 43 |
11 | Udinese | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 36 - 48 | -12 | 40 |
12 | Como | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 43 - 48 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 29 - 40 | -11 | 39 |
14 | Hellas Verona | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 - 60 | -30 | 32 |
15 | Parma | 33 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 38 - 51 | -13 | 31 |
16 | Cagliari | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 33 - 49 | -16 | 30 |
17 | Lecce | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 23 - 55 | -32 | 26 |
18 | Venezia | 33 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 27 - 46 | -19 | 25 |
19 | Empoli | 33 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 26 - 52 | -26 | 25 |
20 | Monza | 33 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 25 - 57 | -32 | 15 |