Arsenal vs PSG prediction 29.04.2025 | Champions League

• Competition: Champions League, Semi-Finals, 1st Leg
• Date: Tuesday, 29th April, 2025
• Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
• Venue: Emirates Stadium (London)

On Tuesday evening, we will have a real treat in the Champions League Semi-Finals as two European giants that are still searching for their first CL titles, Arsenal and PSG, will face off in the first leg at Emirates Stadium in London.

For the third season in a row, Arsenal looks like the second-best team in England. In the last two seasons, they came short of Manchester City, and this season, they will most likely finish second, but this time behind Liverpool, as they are 12 points away from them despite playing one game more. Considering that the Gunners have already been eliminated from the Carabao and FA Cup, they are only focused on the Champions League.

PSG once again dominated the domestic league, easily winning the title several rounds before the end of the season. That is their 11th league title in 13 years. However, their main goal of winning the Champions League is still unfulfilled. They failed to win it with Messi, Neymar, Mbappe, and other big stars, but maybe this could finally be their year. Right now, the bookies see them as the second favorite for the title, with the odds of 3.5, just behind Barcelona (3.25 odds).

Arsenal vs PSG pick: Over 2.5 goals

Arsenal have been pretty good offensively lately, scoring a goal in the last 11 games. And in the recent five matches, they were fantastic, scoring 12 goals - 2.4 per game. Mostly due to a fantastic offense, they were over 2.5 goals in four of the last five matches - 80%. Additionally, in the previous four Champions League games, the Gunners were over 2.5 goals every time.

PSG have been fantastic offensively throughout the season, and scoring a goal or two against anyone is a very real scenario. But defensively, they have been slipping as they failed to keep a clean sheet in five consecutive matches, and they played against much worse teams than Arsenal. During that five-game stretch, PSG went over 2.5 goals on four occasions.

Considering both teams' offensive potential and constant high-scoring games recently, along with all the above, we expect a high-scoring game, most likely with both teams scoring.