Argentina vs Colombia prediction 15.07.2024 | Copa America

• Competition: Copa America, Final
• Date: Monday, 15th July, 2024
• Kickoff: 01:00 UK / 02:00 CEST
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, USA)

On the night between Sunday and Monday, Argentina will compete for its 16th Copa America title against Colombia, a one-time winner back in 2001, at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, USA.

Argentina have arguably been the best national team in the world in recent years, with Argentine media even calling this squad the best ever. They won the World Cup in Qatar in 2022 and the Copa America against archrival and host Brazil in 2021. They have consistently played fantastic football across all competitions, suffering only two losses in their last 50 games over the past three years, boasting an impressive 78% win rate in regular time. La Selección entered this tournament as the primary favorite and have lived up to expectations. However, some football pundits argue that they had a relatively easy route to the finals, facing teams ranked from 30th to 48th in the FIFA World Ranking List, with only Ecuador being in the top 30. Interestingly, their non-Ecuadorian opponents (Canada twice, Peru, and Chile) scored only two goals combined in the Copa America.

Colombia are undoubtedly on the rise. They are on an incredible 28-game unbeaten run, with their last loss coming against Argentina in February 2022 during the World Cup qualifiers. Since missing out on the last World Cup, Los Cafeteros have been impressive in all competitions. They are currently performing well in the World Cup 2026 qualifiers, holding 3rd place with 12 points, and seem poised to secure a spot if they maintain their current form. In the Copa America, unlike Argentina, Colombia faced a tough schedule, going up against stronger competition in both the group and knockout stages.

Argentina vs Colombia pick: Under 2.5 goals

Throughout this tournament, Argentina played only low-scoring games and scored under 2.5 goals in all five of them. Defensively, they were on point, allowing just one goal to Ecuador during the Copa America. However, the offense hasn't been as great, especially if we take into account their offensive talent.

On the other hand, Colombia weren't as great for this bet, with three games going over and two under 2.5 goals line. Still, both games when they were under were against good teams like Brazil and Uruguay, which are around Argentina's level. Also, like Argentina, Colombia were excellent defensively, allowing only two goals in five matches.

These teams last time met in World Cup Qualifiers in 2022 when Argentina won 1:0. Before that, these teams met in the previous Copa America Semi-Finals when Argentina won on penalties after a 1:1 draw in the regular time. Also, four of the last five h2h games ended with fewer than three goals.

Considering the previous h2h games, the importance of the match and other things mentioned above, an under 2.5 goals, should be the safest option for this Copa America Finals match.