AC Milan vs Fiorentina prediction 05.04.2025 | Serie A

AC Milan

AC Milan

Kick off:

Date:

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1

1.98

X

3.76

2

4.10

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Saturday, 5th April 2025
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: San Siro (Milan)

AC Milan are far from their goals this season. They hoped to secure, at least, a place in the Champions League, but with eight Serie A rounds left, AC Milan are a big nine points behind the desired spot. AC Milan won only two of the last eight matches in all competitions. In the previous game, they played 1-1 at home in Coppa Italia against Inter. The home side finished the match with an xG of 0.86, while the guests had 1.55, so AC Milan could be satisfied with avoiding defeat in the first leg. 

Fiorentina are four points ahead of AC Milan, and they are in the fight for the places in the European competitions, too. Fiorentina are playing well lately, as they won the last three matches. Last weekend, Raffaele Paladino's team won 1-0 at home against Atalanta. The teams were pretty even in that game, and a draw was probably the fairest outcome, but Fiorentina found a way to all three points. 

AC Milan vs Fiorentina pick: Over 2.5 goals 

Both these teams have had high-scoring games lately. There were three or more goals in six of the previous seven AC Milan matches. On the other hand, we have seen four of the last Fiorentina games with three or more goals. The game on Saturday night at San Siro should be high-scoring, too. 

AC Milan vs Fiorentina Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Fiorentina

    2 : 1

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  2. Fiorentina

    1 : 2

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  3. AC Milan

    1 : 0

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  4. Fiorentina

    2 : 1

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  5. AC Milan

    2 : 1

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  6. AC Milan

    1 : 0

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

AC Milan

AC Milan team news

In the previous Serie A round, AC Milan's Alejandro Jimenez received his fifth yellow card for the season, so he will serve a suspension on Saturday against Fiorentina. AC Milan will also be without Emerson Royal and Ruben Loftus-Cheek. 

Last matches of AC Milan

  1. AC Milan

    1 : 1

    Inter Milan

    Coppa Italia

  2. Napoli

    2 : 1

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  3. AC Milan

    2 : 1

    Como

    Serie A

  4. Lecce

    2 : 3

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  5. AC Milan

    1 : 2

    Lazio

    Serie A

AC Milan lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Mike Maignan

Defenders

  • 32

    Kyle Walker

  • 46

    Matteo Gabbia

  • 28

    Malick Thiaw

  • 19

    Theo Hernandez

Midfielders

  • 14

    Tijani Reijnders

  • 11

    Christian Pulisic

  • 29

    Youssouf Fofana

Forwards

  • 21

    Samuel Chukwueze

  • 90

    Tammy Abraham

  • 10

    Rafael Leao

Fiorentina

Fiorentina team news

Fiorentina have some problems with missing players, too. Edoardo Bove and Andrea Colpani are unavailable for the upcoming tie against AC Milan. Robin Gosens is questionable and his status will be clearer closer to the kickoff. 

Last matches of Fiorentina

  1. Fiorentina

    1 : 0

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  2. Fiorentina

    3 : 0

    Juventus

    Serie A

  3. Napoli

    2 : 1

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  4. Panathinaikos

    3 : 2

    Fiorentina

    Europa Conference League

  5. Fiorentina

    1 : 0

    Lecce

    Serie A

Fiorentina lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 43

    David de Gea

Defenders

  • 5

    Marin Pongracic

  • 18

    Pablo Mari

  • 6

    Luca Ranieri

Midfielders

  • 2

    Dodo

  • 44

    Nicolo Fagioli

  • 32

    Danilo Cataldi

  • 8

    Rolando Mandragora

  • 65

    Fabiano Parisi

Forwards

  • 10

    Albert Gudmundsson

  • 20

    Moise Kean

4 Reasons why we should see three or more goals in this match

  1. AC Milan scored seven goals in the last four matches
  2. There were three or more goals in six of the previous seven AC Milan games
  3. Fiorentina scored ten goals in the last five matches
  4. There were three or more goals in four of the previous five Fiorentina games

Main prediction AC Milan - Fiorentina

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

1xBet

1.8

Bet here

AC Milan & Fiorentina current standing in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter 30 20 7 3 67 - 28 +39 67
2 Napoli 30 19 7 4 47 - 24 +23 64
3 Atalanta 30 17 7 6 63 - 29 +34 58
4 Bologna 30 15 11 4 50 - 34 +16 56
5 Juventus 30 14 13 3 46 - 28 +18 55
6 Roma 30 15 7 8 45 - 30 +15 52
7 Lazio 30 15 7 8 51 - 42 +9 52
8 Fiorentina 30 15 6 9 47 - 30 +17 51
9 Milan 30 13 8 9 45 - 35 +10 47
10 Udinese 30 11 7 12 36 - 41 -5 40
11 Torino 30 9 12 9 35 - 35 0 39
12 Genoa 30 8 11 11 28 - 38 -10 35
13 Como 30 7 9 14 36 - 47 -11 30
14 Hellas Verona 30 9 3 18 29 - 58 -29 30
15 Cagliari 30 7 8 15 31 - 44 -13 29
16 Parma 30 5 11 14 35 - 49 -14 26
17 Lecce 30 6 7 17 21 - 49 -28 25
18 Empoli 30 4 11 15 24 - 47 -23 23
19 Venezia 30 3 11 16 23 - 43 -20 20
20 Monza 30 2 9 19 24 - 52 -28 15

AC Milan vs Fiorentina - FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for AC Milan this season?

The average xG for AC Milan in Serie A this season is 1.65.

? How much is the average xG for Fiorentina this season?

The average xG for Fiorentina in Serie A this season is 1.33.